I Heart Cheese 2020 Fantasy Football Playoff Chances 2020-2021 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI

Kyle	6		3	-	0	-	0	42	88.3	%	+7.7	38	18	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	3.1	+0.77	1	The Breakfast Club
Bill	5		2	-	0	-	1	51	72.6		+11.5	15	15	13	12	9	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	4.7	+0.93	4	hornets
Daryll	4		2	-	1	-	0	-12	62.2		+11.6	9	11	11	11	10	9	8	8	7	6	5	3	5.6	+0.89	5	BOONDOCKERS
Jason	4		2	-	1	-	0	85	62.1		+12.1	9	11	11	11	10	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	5.6	+0.93	8	#BeerLevelsMatter
Yarroch	4		2	-	1	-	0	-9	62.1		-9.1	9	11	11	11	10	9	8	8	7	6	5	3	5.6	-0.81	7	#FightingHashTags
Chris	4		2	-	1	-	0	15	47.7		-11.0	4	7	8	9	10	10	9	10	10	9	8	6	6.7	-0.87	2	Heavy Pettine

Zach	2		1	-	2	-	0	4	39.4		+9.9	3	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	10	7.3	+0.84	9	Misfits of Fantasy
Jake	2		1	-	2	-	0	-34	39.2		-11.2	3	5	6	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	10	7.4	-0.90	3	Past My Prime
Babs	2		1	-	2	-	0	-18	39.1		-10.7	3	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	10	11	10	7.4	-0.85	6	Cedar Street Seagulls
Brandon	2		1	-	2	-	0	-16	38.6		+9.3	3	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	10	7.4	+0.80	10	Green Eggs & CJ Ham
Rob	1		0	-	2	-	1	-75	28.0		-10.8	2	3	4	5	6	8	8	9	11	12	14	17	8.3	-0.90	11	Rob’s Big D Team
Josh	0		0	-	3	-	0	-33	20.8		-9.5	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	9	10	13	16	23	8.9	-0.84	12	CarsonDallasPennyHyd

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/28
Babs 93 Daryll 100
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Daryll	+12.0		+0.9
Babs	-12.0		-0.9

Chris 106 Kyle 124
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kyle	+7.9		+0.8
Bill	+0.5
Daryll	+0.4
Jason	+0.4
Yarroch	+0.3
Chris	-11.9		-0.9
Zach	+0.4		+0.0
Jake	+0.4
Babs	+0.4
Brandon	+0.3
Rob	+0.4
Josh	+0.4

Jason 125 Yarroch 80
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kyle	-0.1
Bill	-0.2
Daryll	-0.2
Jason	+11.8		+0.9
Yarroch	-10.2		-0.9
Chris	-0.1
Zach	-0.2
Jake	-0.2
Babs	-0.2
Brandon	-0.1
Rob	-0.2
Josh	-0.1

Bill 112 Jake 68
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bill	+11.5		+0.9
Jake	-12.0		-0.9

Zach 98 Rob 66
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kyle	*+0.1
Bill	+0.1
Daryll	+0.1
Zach	+10.3		+0.9
Jake	+0.2
Rob	-11.2		-0.9
Josh	+0.1

Brandon 75 Josh 68
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brandon	+10.3		+0.9
Josh	-10.3		-0.9

Week of 10/5
Chris vs JoshIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kyle	88.1*88.488.4
Bill	72.272.273.0
Daryll	61.8*62.362.6
Jason	61.7*62.362.5
Yarroch	61.7*62.462.5
Chris	60.549.234.9		5.86.67.7
Zach	39.0*39.239.8
Jake	38.8*39.239.6
Babs	38.6*39.039.5
Brandon	38.2*38.638.9
Rob	27.5*27.928.5
Josh	11.819.429.8		9.89.18.1

Zach vs JakeHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Zach	51.538.927.3		6.47.48.3
Jake	27.138.751.2		8.37.46.4
Josh			8.99.0*8.9

Babs vs BrandonHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Babs	51.2*38.827.0		6.47.48.3
Brandon	26.5*38.350.6		8.47.46.4

Jason vs DaryllHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Daryll	50.263.674.1		6.55.54.6
Jason	74.163.350.1		4.65.56.5

Yarroch vs RobHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kyle	88.2*88.388.3
Bill	72.5*72.772.7
Daryll	62.1*62.162.3
Jason	62.0*62.362.3
Yarroch	73.963.450.3		4.75.56.5
Chris	47.5*48.047.9
Zach	39.3*39.539.5
Jake	39.0*39.139.3
Babs	38.9*38.939.2
Brandon	38.4*38.438.7
Rob	17.526.538.5		9.28.47.4
Josh	20.7*20.720.9

Bill vs KyleHomeTieAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kyle	82.588.894.1		3.83.02.4
Bill	82.4*72.462.8		3.84.85.6
Daryll	61.8*62.362.6
Jason	61.7*61.962.5
Yarroch	61.7*62.062.5
Chris	47.2*47.848.2
Zach	39.0*39.439.8
Jake	38.8*39.139.5
Babs	38.7*39.139.5
Brandon	38.2*38.539.0
Rob	27.627.628.5
Josh	20.5*21.021.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MHB for adding this league.