Washington Redskins Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.05 to 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17	-0.3						-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Philadelphia vs Washington	-7.8*-0.3+7.8		-1.3*-0.8+1.3		+1.3*-0.5-1.3		-0.9*+0.1+0.9
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.3*+0.1-0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay vs Washington	-7.4*-1.2+7.4		-1.4*-0.3+1.3		+1.4*-0.6-1.4		-0.9*-0.1+0.9
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.9*-0.1-0.9						+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.9*-1.8-0.9						+0.1*-0.1-0.1
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.9*-0.1-0.9						+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.4*+0.4-0.4						+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

14.5	-16						In		90.8	%	100																No		218	*
14		14	-	2	-	0	In		73.7		98	1			1	0											No		1,082
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		66.7		97	1			2												No		117
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.7	%	52.9		90	6	0		3	1	0	0		0							No		4,906
		12	-	2	-	2	In		81.8		100																No		11
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.2		44.6		84	10	0		4	1	1	0									No		522
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.0		30.2		68	19	2	0	7	3	1	0	0	0	0						No		15,558
		11	-	3	-	2	In		15.8		74	16			5	5											No		19
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.3		20.9		54	27	3	0	9	4	1	1	0								No		1,500
		10	-	3	-	3	In		No			100															No		1
11		11	-	5	-	0	92.2		13.9		33	31	9	1	12	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		37,862
		10	-	4	-	2	92.8		14.5		32	29	12		10	10	3	1	1	1							No		69
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	86.7		7.8		20	29	14	2	13	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		3,184
		9	-	4	-	3	In		No						100												No		1
10		10	-	6	-	0	77.8		4.6		8	21	19	5	14	11	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	69,408
		9	-	5	-	2	78.6		2.4		11	16	21	8	12	11	6	3	4	2	5	1					No		126
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	66.8		2.0		2	12	19	9	13	12	10	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	No		5,453
		8	-	5	-	3	50.0		No							50				50							No		2
9		9	-	7	-	0	54.6		1.0		1	5	14	12	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0.0		98,448
		8	-	6	-	2	60.1		2.0		1	6	15	13	13	14	9	8	9	6	4	3	1	1	2		No		198
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	42.9		0.4		0	1	9	14	9	10	11	10	10	8	6	5	4	2	1	0	0.0		7,167
		7	-	6	-	3	60.0		No					20		40	40										No		5
8		8	-	8	-	0	30.1		0.2		0	0	4	12	6	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.2		110,828
		7	-	7	-	2	34.0		No			1	5	12	3	12	11	13	10	8	7	8	4	4	1	1	No		206
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	19.6		0.0			0	1	9	4	6	8	9	10	11	11	10	8	7	4	2	0.4		7,184
		6	-	7	-	3	20.0		No						20			20	20			20		20			No		5
7		7	-	9	-	0	12.3		0.0			0	0	6	2	4	6	7	9	10	11	12	11	10	7	4	1.1		98,872
		6	-	8	-	2	12.9		No					7	2	4	4	9	8	13	11	14	13	6	5	4	1.0		209
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	6.5		0.0				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	13	12	6	2.0		5,437
		5	-	8	-	3	33.3		No					33						33		33					No		3
6		6	-	10	-	0	3.7		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	14	16	16	12	4.7		69,412
		5	-	9	-	2	5.9		No					4	1	1	2	1	4	6	7	9	18	18	15	13	4.4		136
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.6		No					1	0	0	1	2	4	5	7	11	13	17	21	18	7.5		3,390
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No											33						67	No		3
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.8		No					1	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	17	24	27	13.9		37,456
		4	-	10	-	2	1.3		No							1		1	3	3	5	14	13	13	14	33	16.7		78
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	1	2	3	5	10	15	28	36	19.7		1,505
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	13	26	48	31.2		15,571
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No												4	4	14	11	32	36	25.0		28
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out		No											0	1	2	3	9	26	60	42.4		517
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0					0	0	0	1	2	7	20	69	53.5		4,929
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No																67	33	33.3		3
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No												1		2	6	19	73	61.9		113
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No													0	1	3	11	86	75.8		1,012
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																10	90	90.0		20
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No															1	6	93	84.3		115
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	Yes		55	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.2	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.2	%	602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington	+1.8*-0.0-1.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Washington	+1.8*+0.3-1.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

15.5	-16						100
15		15	-	1	-	0	91	8		1
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	61	33		6
14		14	-	2	-	0	74	16	6	2	1	0	0	0	0		0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	67	20	6	3	2	2			1
13		13	-	3	-	0	53	23	10	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	82	9		9
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	45	23	11	10	4	5	1	0	0	1
12		12	-	4	-	0	30	22	15	10	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		11	-	3	-	2	16	26	26	5	21					5
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	21	20	14	12	9	6	5	4	2	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	0		0
		10	-	3	-	3			100
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	13	11	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		10	-	4	-	2	14	10	16	10	4	14	4	4	6	6		4		1		3		1
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	10	12	11	10	8	8	6	4	5	3	4	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
		9	-	4	-	3						100
10		10	-	6	-	0	5	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	2	3	10	9	4	6	14	10	8	5	7	5	2	4	3	1	1	4		1	1	1	1
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	7	7	6	7	7	6	7	6	6	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3								50							50
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	2	2	5	4	6	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	3	6	10	3	2	5	3	1	2	2	1	2		1		1	1
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	5	6	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3							20			40		20						20
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2		0	1	1	1	1	3	2	4	5	5	10	6	4	6	7	4	4	6	4	2	3	4	2	4	2	1	0	1		0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3							20								20		20								20		20
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2					0	0	1	1		3	2	1	4	1	2	4	6	6	5	6	6	6	6	8	5	6	4	5	5	2	1	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3																33						33	33
6		6	-	10	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	7	5
		5	-	9	-	2								1			2			2	1	1	1	1	4	2	1	7	4	12	12	7	4	12	8	5	7	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1						0			0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	6	6	8	8	9	10	11	11	8
		4	-	9	-	3																										33				33	33
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	13	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2															1		1	1	1	1	1	4	6	5	8	6	5	9	4	13	15	17
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1														0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	6	7	9	11	16	20	20
4		4	-	12	-	0							0			0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	7	10	14	22	31
		3	-	11	-	2																			4				4		7	4	4	11	4	18	21	25
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																						1	0	1	2	3	2	5	9	10	24	42
3		3	-	13	-	0																		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	12	22	54
		2	-	12	-	2																													67			33
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																			1						1			4	2	12	19	62
2		2	-	14	-	0																							0		0		0	1	3	5	16	76
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																															10	90
1		1	-	15	-	0																														5	10	84
0	-0.5																																					100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3