New York Jets Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Plays Tampa Bay, playoff odds down 0.1 to 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17 +0.4
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+7.0*-0.5-7.0
+1.3*-0.5-1.3
-1.4-1.2+1.4
+0.8*+0.0-0.8
Miami vs Cleveland-0.4*-0.3+0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
New England vs NY Jets-8.0*-0.5+8.0
-1.3*-0.4+1.3
+1.4*-0.9-1.4
-0.9*-0.0+0.9
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.8*+0.5+0.8
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Miami vs Indianapolis-0.5*-1.0+0.5
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
San Diego vs Philadelphia-0.4*+0.8+0.4
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.4*+0.2+0.4
Denver vs NY Giants-0.3*+0.9+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-0InYes100No51
1515-1-0In84.2%991No152
14.514-1-1In86.7937No15
1414-2-0In74.897110No1,058*
13.513-2-1In71.79641No113
1313-3-099.5%52.99050310000No4,724
12-2-2In20.0100No5
12.512-3-199.242.48390611No502
1212-4-098.231.169171083110000No15,532
11-3-2In27.3731215No33
11.511-4-196.620.9542520115210000No1,484*
1111-5-092.213.835308112642110000No37,498
10-4-295.711.44034967111No70
10.510-5-186.78.01929132141063211000No3,374*
1010-6-077.44.792218513108542210000No69,030
9-5-280.16.493015514665222111No141
9.59-6-168.12.131319814129764321000No5,463*
99-7-054.81.11614111111119865321100.0%98,926
8-6-254.80.5161691310188363321No186
8.58-7-141.90.4019138101010108754210No7,216
7-6-333.3No17175017No6
88-8-030.10.20041168101010109864210.2111,757
7-7-230.5No5108861010109116520No239*
7.57-8-120.0No01847891010111097520.47,176
6-7-366.7No333333No3
77-9-012.40.0016246791011111110741.098,401
6-8-212.5No52574910122188741.1184
6.56-9-16.7No03123579111313141271.65,650
5-8-3OutNo333333No3
66-10-03.5No02112357912141616124.768,789
5-9-23.1No1215228811162115114.6130
5.55-10-11.8No1001234712121720197.93,360
55-11-00.7No0001123581117242713.937,572
4-10-2OutNo39699263822.766
4.54-11-10.1No00001125917273720.91,555
3-10-3OutNo5050No2
44-12-00.1No00000123713254930.815,834
3-11-2OutNo4415225629.627
3.53-12-1OutNo0259236144.2446
33-13-0OutNo000127207052.94,754
2-12-2OutNo406060.05
2.52-13-1OutNo16227156.2105
22-14-0OutNo0012128573.51,084
1.51-14-1OutNo69483.318
11-15-0OutNo149592.5147
0-0.5OutNo100Yes58*
Total:37.5%3.2%66666666666666663.2%602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-1.8+0.1+1.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs NY Jets+1.8*+0.0-1.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-0100
1515-1-084133
14.514-1-18713
1414-2-07516511100000
13.513-2-172166421
1313-3-053231163211100000000
12-2-22080
12.512-3-14219157642110001
1212-4-0312115107532211000000000000
11-3-2271821936933
11.511-4-121191511106542211100000000
1111-5-01415131110865433221111000000000000
10-4-2113011711613341711
10.510-5-181111109887654422211100000000
1010-6-05789887766544332221111000000000
9-5-26813991177461424411211111
9.59-6-12456777786564543322211110000000
99-7-012345566666665544433222111100000
8-6-2124328510648758364222132311
8.58-7-10112344456666655554433322211100
7-6-3171717171717
88-8-000112233444555555555544433221100
7-7-2023333363855343755745352011
7.57-8-10011122333445555655555554343210
6-7-3333333
77-9-000000111122333444555666666554321
6-8-211123213351434546587116433321
6.56-9-1000000111122333345667777776642
5-8-33367
66-10-00000000000111222334456677888875
5-9-21112122227377811888875
5.55-10-10000011111222445667991112108
55-11-00000000000111122334568911131414
4-10-222332632689171723
4.54-11-1000000011223446913161821
3-10-35050
44-12-0000000000001112235710152131
3-11-244777221930
3.53-12-100122447112544
33-13-000000011236112353
2-12-24060
2.52-13-11127132056
22-14-00000001161774
1.51-14-11783
11-15-01793
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333