SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Houston Texans Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 37.4%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago 19 Cincinnati 17	+0.4						+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Houston vs San Diego	+7.3*-0.9-7.3		+1.3*-0.2-1.3		-1.4*-0.1+1.4		+0.9*+0.1-0.9
Indianapolis vs Oakland	-0.5*-0.5+0.5						-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs Jacksonville	+0.5*-0.2-0.5						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	-0.5*-1.3+0.5						-0.0*-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	-0.4*-1.7+0.4						-0.1*-0.2+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Houston vs Tennessee	+7.9*-0.1-7.9		+1.3*+0.0-1.3		-1.4-1.0+1.4		+0.9*+0.1-0.9
Oakland vs Jacksonville	+0.7*-0.8-0.7						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Indianapolis	+0.5*-1.3-0.5						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Carolina	-0.4*+0.3+0.4						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	-0.3*+0.8+0.3						-0.1*+0.1+0.1
San Diego vs Philadelphia	-0.3*+0.7+0.3
Denver vs NY Giants	-0.3*+1.0+0.3						-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		98.4	%	100																No		61	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		93.6		99				1												No		140
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		96.0		96				4												No		25
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	74.7		97	1			1	0	0										No		1,036	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		64.2		94	3			2	1											No		123
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.6		53.5		90	6	0		3	1	0	0	0	0							No		4,843
		12	-	2	-	2	In		55.6		89				11												No		9
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.4		41.5		84	9	0		4	2		1									No		508
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.0		31.0		69	17	1	0	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0					No		15,582
		11	-	3	-	2	In		43.5		70	17			4	9											No		23
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	96.7		21.5		54	24	4	0	10	5	2	1	0	0	0	0					No		1,458	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	92.0		13.9		35	29	8	1	12	7	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		37,847
		10	-	4	-	2	96.8		12.9		42	34	6		5	10	2	2									No		62
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	86.9		8.1		19	30	15	1	14	8	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		3,224	*
10		10	-	6	-	0	77.5		4.8		9	22	18	5	14	10	8	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		68,759
		9	-	5	-	2	78.0		2.3		11	24	12	5	12	13	8	9	1	2		2					No		132
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	66.7		2.0		3	13	19	8	12	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0		No		5,541
		8	-	5	-	3	60.0		No				40			20		20		20							No		5
9		9	-	7	-	0	54.5		1.1		1	6	15	11	11	11	11	9	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	0	0.0	%	98,708
		8	-	6	-	2	55.2		No		0	5	14	9	13	14	15	8	7	6	3	3	1	1		0	No		221	*
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	42.3		0.3		0	2	9	13	9	10	11	11	9	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		7,004
		7	-	6	-	3	20.0		No						20		20	40	20								No		5
8		8	-	8	-	0	30.3		0.2		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.2		110,667
		7	-	7	-	2	35.5		No			0	4	17	5	9	9	9	9	8	8	8	7	4	0	1	No		228
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	19.6		0.0		0	0	1	8	4	6	8	9	10	11	10	10	8	7	4	2	0.4		7,172
		6	-	7	-	3	33.3		No					33						17		17	33				No		6
7		7	-	9	-	0	12.4		0.0			0	0	6	2	4	6	7	9	10	11	12	11	10	7	4	1.0		98,588
		6	-	8	-	2	12.7		No				1	6	4	3	5	10	9	11	9	15	11	10	6	2	No		197	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	6.4		No				0	3	1	2	4	6	8	9	10	12	13	13	11	7	2.0		5,583
		5	-	8	-	3	20.0		No							20	20	20							40		No		5
6		6	-	10	-	0	3.6		No				0	2	1	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	14	16	16	12	4.7		69,138
		5	-	9	-	2	4.1		No					3		1	1	3	3	8	8	10	11	19	17	14	5.5		145	*
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.5		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	10	14	17	19	19	8.3		3,353	*
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.8		No					0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	17	24	27	14.0		38,123
		4	-	10	-	2	3.0		No						1	1		1		6	1	6	15	21	22	24	13.4		67
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.3		No					0	0		0	0	1	2	3	5	9	15	26	38	20.1		1,544
		3	-	10	-	3	Out		No																	100	50.0		2
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	25	49	31.3		16,012
		3	-	11	-	2	3.3		No					3					3				7	10	33	43	23.3		30
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out		No								0			0	1	2	2	10	25	59	40.3		514
3		3	-	13	-	0	Out		No										0	0	0	1	3	6	20	69	52.5		4,872
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No																	100	50.0		4
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No													1	2	6	17	74	55.4		121
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No												0		0	2	11	87	74.0		1,037	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																	100	Yes		18
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No													1			11	88	84.5		148
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																	100	Yes		1
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No																2	98	98.1		53

Total:							37.4	%	3.2	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.2	%	602,944

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Houston vs San Diego	-1.8*-0.1+1.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Houston vs Tennessee	-1.8-0.1+1.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	98	2
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	94	4	2
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	96				4
14		14	-	2	-	0	75	16	5	2	1	0	0		0			0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	64	18	11	3	2	2
13		13	-	3	-	0	53	23	11	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		12	-	2	-	2	56	11		11	11	11
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	42	27	12	6	4	4	2	1	1	0	1	0				0
12		12	-	4	-	0	31	22	15	10	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	43	17	17		4		9		4			4
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	21	20	13	11	9	5	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	13	11	9	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
		10	-	4	-	2	13	23	24	5	11	3	2	6	3	8	2
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	12	11	9	8	7	6	6	4	4	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0		0
10		10	-	6	-	0	5	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	2	8	5	11	9	9	5	8	7	5	10	5	6	3	3	1	1		1			1		1	1
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3		20				20				20			20					20
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2		1	2	4	5	6	7	10	8	4	6	5	8	6	6	5	3	3	3	3	0	3	2	1	0		1	0		0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3													40			20	20	20
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2			2	1	3	2	3	3	4	3	7	7	6	2	6	5	7	5	3	3	7	7	3	4	3	2	2	1		1	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3											17	17									17				50
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2		1			1	1			3		2	2	6	3	6	6	5	2	4	8	5	7	6	6	8	6	7	3	1	4	2
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	5	5	5	5	6	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3											20	20					20											20	20
6		6	-	10	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	5
		5	-	9	-	2						1		1		1		1	1	1		1	1	1	3	7	5	3	7	3	10	6	8	10	6	9	8	6
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	9	9	10	11	11	8
5		5	-	11	-	0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	13	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2													1			1			1	4	1			6	9	3	12	13	6	19	7	13
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1								0					0	0		0	0	1	0	0	2	2	2	2	4	4	6	9	12	15	20	20
		3	-	10	-	3																													50			50
4		4	-	12	-	0										0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	3	5	7	10	14	22	31
		3	-	11	-	2																3		3						3		3		7	10	17	30	23
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1													0		0		0	0				1	1	1	1	2	2	5	8	13	26	40
3		3	-	13	-	0																			0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	6	10	23	53
		2	-	12	-	2																															50	50
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																									1	1		2	5	12	25	55
2		2	-	14	-	0																	0			0					0	0	0	1	3	5	17	74
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																																100
1		1	-	15	-	0																											1			3	11	84
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																															2	98

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3