Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Seahawks+6.6*+3.9-6.6
+0.8*+0.3-0.8
Giants vs Chiefs-1.0*-1.2+1.0
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Ravens vs Redskins+1.0*-2.4-1.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Cowboys+0.7*-0.5-0.7
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Packers+0.3*+0.9-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.3*-1.0-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.3*+0.7+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.3*-0.4-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*-0.5-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*-2.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.2*+1.3+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Jets+5.9*+0.4-5.9
+0.7*+0.1-0.7
Chargers vs Giants+1.0*-1.9-1.0
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars-1.0*-2.1+1.0
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Redskins vs Bears-0.7*-1.2+0.7
Ravens vs Saints+0.3*+2.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.3*-1.3-0.3
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*+1.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*+2.5+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.2*-0.2-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eagles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
24.5-31In100771*
2424-7-0In99101,769
23.523-7-1In10024
2323-8-0In973015,171
22.522-8-1In95597
2222-9-0In88902013,379
21.521-9-1In861102219
2121-10-0In7220206028,994
20-9-2In1002
20.520-10-199.8%602820900511
2020-11-0100.0453370131056,081*
19.519-11-199.931351211820935
1919-12-099.4193418322510093,311
18-11-2In3825388
18.518-12-198.110262442510201,424
1818-13-093.741824923165100136,777
17-12-291.7174233812
17.517-13-186.7192115192210301,930
1717-14-069.5041516122218931000175,270
16-13-243.813313119616
16.516-14-149.901916618221782002,334
1616-15-031.000414310192216831000198,300
15-14-250.010402010101010
15.515-15-115.6019141222231683102,569
1515-16-08.80170151321221793100198,796
14-15-28.388174281712
14.514-16-14.2040151422261683102,346
1414-17-02.4020002614222418920175,120
13-16-2Out7131320337715
13.513-17-11.2101615242618711,944
1313-18-00.50100027172727154136,619
12-17-2Out1919311361316
12.512-18-10.61001721362591,434
1212-19-00.1000141329351893,029
11-18-2Out133813388
11.511-19-1Out16214131943
1111-20-00.00000313384555,645
10-19-2Out1350388
10.510-20-1Out063262506
1010-21-0Out003247229,266*
9.59-21-1Out21583235
99-22-0Out00118813,360*
8.58-22-1Out397111
88-23-0Out04965,154*
7.57-23-1Out10034
77-24-0Out1991,787
6.56-24-1Out10010
66-25-0Out0100540
0-5.5Out100252*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Eagles vs Seahawks-1.6*-0.5+1.6
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0+0.3+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Ravens vs Redskins-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Cowboys-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Colts vs Packers-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Eagles vs Jets-1.5*-0.3+1.5
Chargers vs Giants-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Redskins vs Bears+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0+0.1+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0-0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*-0.7+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0*-0.4-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-01000
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1100
2323-8-0924301
22.522-8-18785
2222-9-0771190020
21.521-9-167191102
2121-10-05023191200600
20.520-10-1322827120900
2020-11-0182728570013110
19.519-11-1724269120117120
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-225132538
18.518-12-1098192044018710020
1818-13-0043141499112121425100
17-12-217338338
17.517-13-11097141425141751030
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-2133131196
16.516-14-101088806414131813510
1616-15-000045903110512171611621000
15-14-2104010201010
15.515-15-101181402917221910410
1515-16-00011600100261116181611631000
14-15-288817251788
14.514-16-104000141119231912510
1414-17-000200000126121719181263100
13-16-2137132713207
13.513-17-110241120262110310
1313-18-0010000149162121168310
12-17-263831196
12.512-18-11001413222720920
1212-19-00001411212722112
11-18-21313382513
11.511-19-1012102335237
1111-20-00001414293518
10-19-2253838
10.510-20-103174139
1010-21-002113750
9.59-21-1162369
99-22-00022177
8.58-22-1694
88-23-00892
7.57-23-1100
77-24-0298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333