SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Cowboys-6.5*-0.3+6.5
-0.8*-0.0+0.8
Ravens vs Redskins+1.0*+1.3-1.0
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Giants vs Chiefs-0.9*-0.5+0.9
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Eagles vs Seahawks-0.6*-3.5+0.6
-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.3*-2.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.3*-2.6-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.3*+3.3-0.3
+0.0+0.3-0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.3*-0.2+0.3
Panthers vs Patriots-0.3*+1.4+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.2*-1.9-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*-2.0-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.2*-1.5-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cowboys vs Jaguars+5.9*+2.3-5.9
+0.7*+0.3-0.7
Eagles vs Jets-0.9*-2.8+0.9
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Chargers vs Giants+0.9*-3.0-0.9
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs Bears-0.7*-0.6+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Chiefs vs Packers+0.3*-0.9-0.3
Seahawks vs Titans-0.3*-0.5+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.3*-0.6-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.3*+1.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*+2.6+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cowboys finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100267*
2525-6-0In1000499
24.524-6-1In10012
2424-7-0In99101,704
23.523-7-1In10033
2323-8-0In963015,159*
22.522-8-1In9721122
2222-9-0In88902013,562*
21.521-9-1In8893226
2121-10-0In7220206029,387*
20.520-10-1In622549488
2020-11-0100.0%453370131056,088
19-10-2In204020205
19.519-11-1In3234132172905
1919-12-099.4193318322510093,504
18-11-285.714431414147
18.518-12-198.79282362310101,420
1818-13-093.741824923165100135,915
17-12-290.91827936911
17.517-13-185.8182313202111212,111*
1717-14-069.3041516132218931000175,433
16-13-246.2883146813
16.516-14-150.001816619231772102,442
1616-15-031.100414310192216831000198,295
15-14-238.922116221761718
15.515-15-116.0210131222231872102,525
1515-16-08.80070151321221793100198,498
14-15-26.7720202027715
14.514-16-14.0040151323241992002,415
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,305
13-16-2Out10103010202010
13.513-17-11.2101515262519711,979
1313-18-00.50100027172727164135,949
12-17-2Out23233115813
12.512-18-10.1002721322891,471
1212-19-00.10000141329351993,133
11-18-2Out2525504
11.511-19-10.10016204032889
1111-20-00.0000313394555,896*
10.510-20-1Out153361495
1010-21-0Out003257229,586
9.59-21-1Out01585210
99-22-0Out01118913,311*
8.58-22-1Out595111
88-23-0Out04965,210*
7.57-23-1Out89238
77-24-0Out1991,702
6.56-24-1Out1009
66-25-0Out0100461
0-5.5Out100243*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Saints vs Cowboys+1.6*+0.1-1.6
Titans vs Vikings-0.0-0.5+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.1-0.3+0.1
Giants vs Chiefs+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Eagles vs Seahawks+0.1*+0.7-0.1
Colts vs Packers-0.0+0.1+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars+0.0*+0.5-0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.4+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0*-0.4-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Cowboys vs Jaguars-1.5*-0.6+1.5
Chargers vs Giants-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Eagles vs Jets+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Redskins vs Bears+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Bills+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.4+0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1100
2323-8-0924301
22.522-8-191621
2222-9-0771190020
21.521-9-1691893
2121-10-0492220120600
20.520-10-13329240490
2020-11-0182729570013110
19.519-11-172525913021612
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-21443141414
18.518-12-1081018194601681010
1818-13-0043151499111121425100
17-12-218918918189
17.517-13-11089141225151651131
1717-14-00043121152111011151041000
16-13-2888233815
16.516-14-10117876315131912510
1616-15-000045903110512171511621000
15-14-222116171117611
15.515-15-122913031018211710410
1515-16-00001600100261116181612631000
14-15-27772033720
14.514-16-1004001410182520125200
1414-17-000200000136121720181262100
13-16-2102030102010
13.513-17-110151320252010410
1313-18-00010000149162122168310
12-17-28232388238
12.512-18-100014111929231031
1212-19-0000001411212722112
11.511-19-1002102435218
1111-20-00001413293518
10.510-20-105184136
1010-21-0002123749
9.59-21-132671
99-22-0022177
8.58-22-11387
88-23-00891
7.57-23-13592
77-24-0397
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
5.55-25-1100
55-26-0199
0-4.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)