SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Cowboys+6.5*-2.1-6.5
+0.8*-0.3-0.8
Jets vs Falcons+1.0*+2.1-1.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Patriots-0.9*-1.1+0.9
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.9*-3.6-0.9
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Texans vs Cardinals+0.3*+0.0-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*-5.4+0.2
-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.2*-0.6+0.2
Giants vs Chiefs-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Colts vs Packers+0.2*+1.1-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*-2.7-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins+0.2*-3.7-0.2
+0.0*-0.3-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ravens vs Saints-6.0*-0.2+6.0
-0.7*-0.2+0.7
Texans vs Buccaneers+1.1*-2.1-1.1
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Falcons vs Vikings-0.7*-3.4+0.7
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
49ers vs Panthers+0.7*+0.4-0.7
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.3*-0.1+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.3*+2.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Chargers vs Giants+0.3*-2.0-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.3*-2.2+0.3
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.3*-2.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.2*+3.5-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saints finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100241*
2525-6-0In1000471
24.524-6-1In10010
2424-7-0In99101,766
23.523-7-1In10034
2323-8-0In9720105,245
22.522-8-1In9721102
2222-9-0In88902013,418
21.521-9-1In87904230
2121-10-0In7220206029,119*
20.520-10-1In6523290495
2020-11-0100.0%453370131055,877*
19.519-11-199.932331411730882
1919-12-099.4193418322510092,911
18-11-2In60405
18.518-12-198.4928255257101,416
1818-13-093.641824923165100136,058
17-12-2In25251325138
17.517-13-186.3192115202110301,971
1717-14-069.6041516132218931000175,535
16-13-284.6151515388813
16.516-14-150.9191671922177202,364
1616-15-031.000414310192216831000199,027
15-14-24.8524383321
15.515-15-115.80110141220241783102,563
1515-16-08.90170151320221793100197,861
14-15-23.8442315152312426
14.514-16-14.7040151321241883002,403
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,670
13-16-27.7883123881513
13.513-17-11.310001614252720611,963
1313-18-00.5000027172727154136,657
12-17-2Out101050201010
12.512-18-10.3002820352881,436
1212-19-00.1000141328351993,195*
11.511-19-1Out15224131893
1111-20-00.0000313384656,065
10-19-2Out11899
10.510-20-1Out173161516
1010-21-0Out003257129,244
9.59-21-1Out01882221
99-22-0Out1118813,203*
8.58-22-1Out59596
88-23-0Out04965,260
7.57-23-1Out39739
77-24-0Out1991,757
6.56-24-1Out1008
66-25-0Out0100539
0-5.5Out100238*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Saints vs Cowboys-1.5*+0.6+1.5
Ravens vs Redskins+0.0+0.8-0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.0+0.4+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Patriots+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.1*+0.6+0.1
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0+0.1-0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.0*+0.7-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ravens vs Saints+1.5+0.4-1.5
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0+0.3-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.1*+0.5+0.1
Falcons vs Vikings+0.1*+0.6-0.1
49ers vs Panthers-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Eagles vs Jets+0.0+0.1-0.0
Chargers vs Giants-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills+0.0*-0.4-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1100
2323-8-09342010
22.522-8-196121
2222-9-0771190020
21.521-9-16918904
2121-10-0502219120600
20.520-10-135302122900
2020-11-0182728570013110
19.519-11-1725257130116230
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18.518-12-10991920451967010
1818-13-0043151499112121425100
17-12-2251313132513
17.517-13-11188131426131641030
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-288881583188
16.516-14-11088707315141712510
1616-15-000045903110512161611621000
15-14-251014291910510
15.515-15-101281402919221894100
1515-16-001160100261116181612631000
14-15-2484231227158
14.514-16-1004001410182221115200
1414-17-0002000001261217191712731000
13-16-2881582315815
13.513-17-1100241221242011310
1313-18-000000149162122168300
12-17-220203030
12.512-18-10014112227211030
1212-19-000001411212722112
11.511-19-101112333247
1111-20-00001414283518
10-19-211115622
10.510-20-113204135
1010-21-0002113849
9.59-21-123662
99-22-0022077
8.58-22-11090
88-23-00892
7.57-23-1397
77-24-00397
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
5.55-25-1100
55-26-0199
0-4100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)