SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Let it go

Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.6%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts vs Packers-5.9*+0.1+5.9
-0.7*+0.1+0.7
Titans vs Vikings+1.0*-0.1-1.0
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Bears vs Jaguars-1.0*-1.9+1.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins-0.9*+2.9+0.9
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Patriots-0.3*-2.3+0.3
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins+0.3*+1.6-0.3
Texans vs Cardinals+0.3*-1.8-0.3
+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.2*+2.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*+0.7-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.2*-1.6-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chiefs vs Packers-6.0*+0.7+6.0
-0.7*+0.1+0.7
Redskins vs Bears+0.7*-3.6-0.7
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Rams vs Lions+0.7*+4.1-0.7
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Falcons vs Vikings+0.6*+2.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.3*-1.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.3*-2.3+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Chargers vs Giants+0.3*-0.1-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.3*+1.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.3*+2.5-0.3
+0.0+0.4-0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.2*+1.3-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*+0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Packers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
27-31In100128*
2626-5-0In991119
25.525-5-1In1004
2525-6-0In1000459
24.524-6-1In10014
2424-7-0In99101,751
23.523-7-1In97332
2323-8-0In96315,214
22.522-8-1In963193
2222-9-0In88903013,470*
21.521-9-1In831015227
2121-10-0In7220206029,351*
20.520-10-1In63245090504
2020-11-0100.0%453370131056,327*
19.519-11-1In3435111182895
1919-12-099.4183418321510093,387
18-11-2In1338508
18.518-12-197.9828236249201,485
1818-13-093.8418249231651000136,335
17-12-2In272736911
17.517-13-185.71921141923113001,967
1717-14-069.5041516132218931000175,512
16-13-269.2882331158813
16.516-14-150.61816719231682102,414
1616-15-031.100414310192216831000198,401
15-14-228.67714291421714
15.515-15-115.60210041222241582102,558
1515-16-08.90170151320221793100198,743
14-15-211.1116111733611618
14.514-16-14.7040151221261710302,465
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,394
13-16-27.78815158311513
13.513-17-11.1101514262718711,998
1313-18-00.50000027172727164135,488
12-17-2Out40204010
12.512-18-10.1012821322791,413
1212-19-00.1000141329351992,960*
11.511-19-1Out16204131854
1111-20-00.0000313384655,868*
10.510-20-1Out153263523
1010-21-0Out003257129,402*
9.59-21-1Out11781248
99-22-0Out00118813,191
8.58-22-1Out595101
88-23-0Out04965,108
7.57-23-1Out10033
77-24-0Out1991,776
6.56-24-1Out10011
66-25-0Out0100538
0-5.5Out100256*
Total:37.6%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Colts vs Packers+1.5*-0.2-1.5
Bears vs Jaguars+0.1-0.0-0.1
Titans vs Vikings-0.1*+0.4+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*+0.5+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0*+0.6-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Chiefs vs Packers+1.5*-0.2-1.5
Rams vs Lions-0.1*-0.7+0.1
Redskins vs Bears-0.1*+0.5+0.1
Falcons vs Vikings-0.1*-0.8+0.1
Cardinals vs Bills+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*-0.4-0.0
Chargers vs Giants-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0*+0.6-0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
27-31100
2626-5-0991
25.525-5-1100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1937
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1973
2323-8-092431
22.522-8-1861031
2222-9-0781190030
21.521-9-168151015
2121-10-0492320120600
20.520-10-1362622250800
2020-11-01827285700131100
19.519-11-19252781111522
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-2133850
18.518-12-10791819461779020
1818-13-004315141091121214251000
17-12-21891892799
17.517-13-110981312151417511300
1717-14-000431211521111111510410000
16-13-28815815151588
16.516-14-1108887315131713410
1616-15-000045903110512171511621000
15-14-277141477367
15.515-15-10218040210182218104100
1515-16-001160100261116181611631000
14-15-211661122116226
14.514-16-100400014919212213510
1414-17-00020000012612172017126310000
13-16-2881538238
13.513-17-110151319242011410
1313-18-0000000149162121168310
12-17-21020204010
12.512-18-1001312212723920
1212-19-000001411212722112
11.511-19-103102232276
1111-20-00001413293518
10.510-20-104164238
1010-21-0002113749
9.59-21-1052669
99-22-0022177
8.58-22-11090
88-23-000892
7.57-23-1100
77-24-0397
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)