SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Oakland Raiders Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.6%
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Browns vs Raiders-6.5*+0.9+6.6
-0.8*+0.0+0.8
Giants vs Chiefs+0.9*-0.5-0.9
+0.1+0.2-0.1
Broncos vs Bengals-0.7*-1.1+0.7
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Chargers vs Steelers-0.7*-1.8+0.7
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.3*+0.6+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Colts vs Packers-0.3*-3.5+0.3
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.3*+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.3*-3.3+0.3
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.3*+2.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.2*+2.8+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.2*+0.3-0.2
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.2*-1.1-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars+0.2*-3.1-0.2
+0.0*-0.3-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chargers vs Giants-0.9*+0.1+0.9
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Chiefs vs Packers-0.9*-0.1+0.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Browns vs Broncos+0.7*-2.5-0.7
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.3*-2.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.3*+0.7-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills+0.3*-1.0-0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.2*+0.5-0.2
Ravens vs Saints-0.2*-1.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.2*-3.4-0.2
+0.0*-0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Raiders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
28-31In100114*
2727-4-0In95522
25.5-26.5In100109*
2525-6-0In1000496
24.524-6-1In1005
2424-7-0In99101,729
23.523-7-1In10039
2323-8-0In96415,116*
22.522-8-1In926179
2222-9-0In89902013,307
21.521-9-1In80121060231
2121-10-0100.0%72202060029,286*
20.520-10-1In6128380492
2020-11-0100.0453370131056,267
19-10-2In80205
19.519-11-199.932361111820863
1919-12-099.3183418322510093,431
18-11-2In251325388
18.518-12-198.2927236249201,408
1818-13-093.7418249231651000136,471
17-12-280.010301020102010
17.517-13-186.511021122023112001,949
1717-14-069.5041516132218931000175,516
16-13-272.718993618911
16.516-14-150.8181661924167202,448
1616-15-031.200414310192216831000198,058
15-14-253.815151588231513
15.515-15-116.00111131320241773002,553
1515-16-08.80070151320221793100198,551
14-15-29.51014192414101021
14.514-16-14.504015132224198212,353
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,512
13-16-2Out772129211414
13.513-17-11.0101515252816711,935
1313-18-00.5000027172727154136,606
12-17-2Out3350176
12.512-18-10.4001821322891,328
1212-19-00.1000141329351892,824*
11.511-19-1Out015204232909
1111-20-00.00000313384556,047*
10.510-20-1Out193357486
1010-21-00.00003247229,281*
9.59-21-1Out11584216
99-22-0Out00118913,225*
8.58-22-1Out59584
88-23-0Out04965,103
7.57-23-1Out59537
77-24-0Out1991,720
0-6.5Out100810*
Total:37.6%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Browns vs Raiders+1.5-0.1-1.5
Giants vs Chiefs-0.1-0.4+0.1
Panthers vs Patriots-0.0-0.3+0.0
Chargers vs Steelers+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Broncos vs Bengals+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Colts vs Packers+0.0*+0.8-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.0*-0.4-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.6+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.0*-0.4-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Browns vs Broncos-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Chargers vs Giants+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.0+0.2-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.0+0.2-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.5+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
28-31100
2727-4-0955
25.5-26.5100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1100
2323-8-092441
22.522-8-186661
2222-9-0781190020
21.521-9-16614121060
2121-10-050222012006000
20.520-10-137232713800
2020-11-01827285700131100
19.519-11-17252511110117120
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-225132538
18.518-12-109918203601689020
1818-13-004315141091111214251000
17-12-21020101010101020
17.517-13-110981310251419411300
1717-14-000431211521110121510410000
16-13-21899927189
16.516-14-11178906415141712510
1616-15-00004590311061217161162100
15-14-21588158888158
15.515-15-101291303917211910310
1515-16-00001600100261116181612631000
14-15-210551414142955
14.514-16-1004001410182619115100
1414-17-0002000001261217191712731000
13-16-2772121147714
13.513-17-110251220251911400
1313-18-0000000149162121168310
12-17-2171717171717
12.512-18-10024112029211031
1212-19-00001411212722112
11.511-19-10292335247
1111-20-000001413293518
10.510-20-1016204330
1010-21-00002113750
9.59-21-1052570
99-22-0022078
8.58-22-11387
88-23-00892
7.57-23-1892
77-24-0298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)