SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Gracias

Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chargers vs Steelers-6.5*+2.4+6.4
-0.8*+0.1+0.8
Ravens vs Redskins-1.0*+0.8+1.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Browns vs Raiders-0.7*+0.3+0.7
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Broncos vs Bengals+0.7*-1.1-0.7
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Jets vs Falcons-0.3*-1.3+0.3
Giants vs Chiefs+0.3*+1.9-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.3*+0.5+0.3
Texans vs Cardinals-0.3*-1.0+0.3
Lions vs Dolphins+0.2*+2.1-0.2
Colts vs Packers-0.2*-1.3+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.2*-4.1-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars+0.2*+2.0-0.2
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.2*-2.5+0.2
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Steelers vs Colts+6.6*-1.0-6.6
+0.8*-0.2-0.8
Ravens vs Saints-1.0*-2.1+1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Browns vs Broncos-0.8*-0.1+0.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Bills+0.3*+1.7-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.3*-1.1-0.3
Seahawks vs Titans+0.3*-2.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.3*+1.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.2*+0.4+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.2*+2.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Chargers vs Giants-0.2*-2.3+0.2
-0.0-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Steelers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
24.5-31In100742*
2424-7-0In99101,705
23.523-7-1In97329
2323-8-0In963015,154
22.522-8-1In9631113
2222-9-0In88903013,246*
21.521-9-1In821503247
2121-10-0In7221206029,405*
20.520-10-1In6028407519
2020-11-0100.0%453370131056,143
19-10-2In2060205
19.519-11-199.933361011820925
1919-12-099.4193318322510093,292
18-11-2In144314297
18.518-12-197.8829216258201,367
1818-13-093.641824923165100136,801
17-12-287.513133825138
17.517-13-186.3192214192111211,888
1717-14-069.5041516132218931000174,996
16-13-240.04030102010
16.516-14-150.40191761723177202,376
1616-15-031.000414310192216831000198,135
15-14-263.69459189911
15.515-15-116.10210141120241783102,503
1515-16-08.90070151321221793100198,826
14-15-211.17471522222227
14.514-16-14.04015122224199202,347
1414-17-02.3020002614222518920175,850
13-16-2Out83317251712
13.513-17-11.2102514252817711,997
1313-18-00.5000027172727154135,774
12-17-2Out927273611
12.512-18-10.4002720332891,404
1212-19-00.1000141329351993,349
11-18-2Out11111144229
11.511-19-1Out16194033910
1111-20-00.00000313384655,974
10-19-2Out67333
10.510-20-1Out063460522
1010-21-0Out003257229,201*
9.59-21-1Out11682251
99-22-0Out01118813,176
8-21-2Out1002
8.58-22-1Out397104
88-23-0Out04965,228*
7.57-23-1Out10040
77-24-0Out1991,665
6.56-24-1Out10013
66-25-0Out0100525
0-5.5Out100257*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Chargers vs Steelers+1.5*-0.3-1.5
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.0+0.6-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Broncos vs Bengals-0.1*+0.4+0.1
Browns vs Raiders+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Titans vs Vikings+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.0*-0.5+0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Steelers vs Colts-1.6*+0.4+1.6
Chargers vs Giants+0.0+0.4-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.0-0.3+0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.1-0.0-0.1
Browns vs Broncos+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Seahawks vs Titans-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-0991
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-19333
2323-8-0924301
22.522-8-1871031
2222-9-0771190030
21.521-9-166151503
2121-10-0492320120600
20.520-10-13427271407
2020-11-0182728570013110
19-10-2206020
19.519-11-1825279100116220
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-21429141429
18.518-12-108101917461888020
1818-13-0043151599112121425100
17-12-2131313252513
17.517-13-11097151225141561031
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-2103030101010
16.516-14-101099806314141812410
1616-15-000044903110512161611621000
15-14-2993699918
15.515-15-102191403818221710410
1515-16-00016001002611161816126310000
14-15-2747153019117
14.514-16-10400141218232011510
1414-17-00020000001261217201712631000
13-16-281717825817
13.513-17-1101512202322103100
1313-18-000000149162121168310
12-17-21845279
12.512-18-100013102226251030
1212-19-000001411212722112
11-18-2111111441111
11.511-19-113112131277
1111-20-00001413293519
10.510-20-1015204133
1010-21-002123750
9.59-21-133067
99-22-0022177
8.58-22-1991
88-23-00792
7.57-23-1100
77-24-0298
6.56-24-1892
66-25-0199
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)