SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Hurt

Detroit Lions Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lions vs Dolphins+5.9*+3.4-5.9
+0.7*+0.4-0.7
Colts vs Packers+1.0*-0.7-1.0
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Titans vs Vikings+0.9*+1.1-0.9
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Bears vs Jaguars-0.9*-3.0+0.9
-0.1*-0.4+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.3*+0.9-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.3*+0.7-0.3
Ravens vs Redskins+0.3*+0.8-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.3*+2.8-0.3
+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.2*+1.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.2*-2.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rams vs Lions-6.5*-2.2+6.5
-0.8*-0.0+0.8
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.2-6.6+0.2
-0.0*-0.5+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+1.0*-0.4-1.0
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Falcons vs Vikings+0.8*+3.8-0.8
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Redskins vs Bears+0.7*+2.1-0.7
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.3*+2.8-0.3
Chargers vs Giants+0.3*+3.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*+0.7+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.2*+1.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*+3.7+0.2
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*-2.0+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lions finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100247*
2525-6-0In991501
24.524-6-1In1009
2424-7-0In99101,795
23.523-7-1In10034
2323-8-0In963015,170
22.522-8-1In927199
2222-9-0In889003013,213
21.521-9-1In82135248
2121-10-0In7220206029,309*
20.520-10-1In58294100514
2020-11-0100.0%463370131056,008
19-10-2In4040205
19.519-11-199.834351101630865
1919-12-099.419331832251092,869
18-11-2In171750176
18.518-12-198.710282252410101,431
1818-13-093.7418249231651000136,265
17-12-284.6233181588813
17.517-13-186.7192313212010301,914
1717-14-069.5041516132218931000175,644
16-13-266.71111396226618
16.516-14-149.3181561825177202,402
1616-15-031.000414210192216831000199,156
15-14-225.0251725171712
15.515-15-114.9019141221241783102,529
1515-16-08.70070151320221793100198,598
14-15-27.781515882315813
14.514-16-13.70400151323242083002,361
1414-17-02.30020002614222418920175,017
13-16-28.38258253312
13.513-17-11.5101614252817711,979
1313-18-00.5100027172727154136,486
12-17-2Out2060205
12.512-18-1Out0027203329101,423
1212-19-00.1000141329351993,235*
11.511-19-10.1025214033848
1111-20-00.00000214384555,719*
10.510-20-1Out163260503
1010-21-00.00003257129,174
9.59-21-1Out021384211
99-22-0Out00118913,440
8.58-22-1Out694108
88-23-0Out04965,218
7.57-23-1Out79327
77-24-0Out1991,703
6.56-24-1Out1007
66-25-0Out0100498
0-5.5Out100243*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Lions vs Dolphins-1.5*-0.8+1.5
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0+0.6-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0-0.6-0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.1-0.1+0.1
Colts vs Packers-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Bears vs Jaguars+0.1*+0.9-0.1
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*-0.5+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rams vs Lions+1.5-0.0-1.5
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0-0.5-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.1*+0.5+0.1
Falcons vs Vikings-0.1*-0.6+0.1
Redskins vs Bears-0.1*-0.5+0.1
Chargers vs Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-09901
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1946
2323-8-0924301
22.522-8-186671
2222-9-07811900030
21.521-9-16913135
2121-10-0492219020600
20.520-10-133252814900
2020-11-0182728570013110
19-10-2404020
19.519-11-1826279100015130
1919-12-02161815162301845010
18-11-217175017
18.518-12-1091018184517710010
1818-13-00431514991121214251000
17-12-281531815888
17.517-13-11198151216141551030
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-266661128617116
16.516-14-111897063151518124100
1616-15-000045902110612171611621000
15-14-281717178258
15.515-15-101271412818221911410
1515-16-0001600100261116181611631000
14-15-28158151515158
14.514-16-1003000141120241813410
1414-17-00002000001361217191812621000
13-16-28175025
13.513-17-1100151221242110410
1313-18-010000149162121168310
12-17-220204020
12.512-18-114121927221130
1212-19-000001411212722112
11.511-19-10012102333256
1111-20-00001413293518
10.510-20-114243834
1010-21-00002123749
9.59-21-1042769
99-22-00022077
8.58-22-11684
88-23-00793
7.57-23-1793
77-24-0298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)