SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
49ers vs Rams-8.1*-1.7+8.1
-0.9*-0.3+0.9
Texans vs Cardinals+0.9*+2.0-0.9
+0.1+0.2-0.1
Eagles vs Seahawks+0.7*+0.2-0.7
Ravens vs Redskins+0.3*-1.9-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.3*-2.1-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.3*+2.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.3*+0.4+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.3*-0.3+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.2*+0.3-0.2
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*+2.5-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.2*+2.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*+1.4+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rams vs Lions+6.7*-1.4-6.6
+0.8*-0.1-0.8
Seahawks vs Titans-1.0*-1.0+1.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Bills-1.0*-1.0+1.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
49ers vs Panthers-0.8*+0.9+0.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.3*+0.9-0.3
+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.3*-1.1-0.3
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.3*+2.6+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Chargers vs Giants+0.3*-0.9-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.3*-2.5-0.3
+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*-1.0+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rams finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100233*
2525-6-0In1000486
24.524-6-1In10012
2424-7-0In99101,744
23.523-7-1In10045
2323-8-0In9630105,257
22.522-8-1In9541109
2222-9-0In88903013,231
21.521-9-1In821314228
2121-10-0In7221206029,372*
20.520-10-1In63271081491
2020-11-0100.0%453370131055,929
19-10-2In7513138
19.519-11-199.631391211610972
1919-12-099.4183418322510093,333
18-11-2In501325138
18.518-12-197.71027245248201,412
1818-13-093.641824923165100135,999
17-12-2In332222229
17.517-13-186.2192214202010301,990
1717-14-069.7041516132218931000175,525
16-13-268.866251319131916
16.516-14-149.118166182517720002,374
1616-15-031.000414310192216831000199,940
15-14-241.7825817251712
15.515-15-116.8112041021241783002,530
1515-16-08.80070151320221793100197,820
14-15-212.5132538258
14.514-16-14.340151223251972002,440
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,423
13-16-2Out15233123813
13.513-17-11.1101615232718711,906*
1313-18-00.50100027172727154136,105
12-17-2Out1020502010
12.512-18-10.3002819332891,393
1212-19-00.1000141329361893,096
11-18-2Out1733506
11.511-19-1Out16204232881
1111-20-00.00000313384655,881
10-19-2Out1429577
10.510-20-1Out153361475
1010-21-0Out003247229,137
9-20-2Out1002
9.59-21-1Out21483250
99-22-0Out00118913,303
8.58-22-1Out159478
88-23-0Out4965,167
7.57-23-1Out39731
77-24-0Out1991,648
0-6.5Out100759*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
49ers vs Rams+1.8*+0.6-1.8
Bears vs Jaguars+0.0+0.2-0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0-0.2+0.0
Eagles vs Seahawks-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Redskins-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Colts vs Packers-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0*-0.4-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Rams vs Lions-1.6*+0.3+1.6
Chargers vs Giants-0.0+0.4+0.0
49ers vs Panthers+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Seahawks vs Titans+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Bills+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.5+0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*+0.4+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-09910
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1982
2323-8-09243010
22.522-8-191541
2222-9-0771190030
21.521-9-170131314
2121-10-0502220120600
20.520-10-135282611081
2020-11-0182728570013110
19-10-213631313
19.519-11-1823281112115110
1919-12-021619151623018450100
18-11-23813132513
18.518-12-109819204501688020
1818-13-0043151499111121425100
17-12-233222222
17.517-13-11098141226141541030
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-2661961313666666
16.516-14-110788064141518115100
1616-15-0000449031105121716116210000
15-14-28258172588
15.515-15-1121004029172219941
1515-16-0001601002611161816126310000
14-15-2132513132513
14.514-16-104001410182421115100
1414-17-000200000126121719171263100
13-16-28463115
13.513-17-1100251221232011410
1313-18-0010000149162121168310
12-17-23020103010
12.512-18-10014112128211130
1212-19-000001411212722112
11.511-19-10292432249
1111-20-00001413293419
10-19-214145714
10.510-20-15184135
1010-21-0002113749
9.59-21-1062469
99-22-00022077
8.58-22-111583
88-23-00892
7.57-23-1397
77-24-0397
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)