Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2015

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.3%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Seahawks+5.6*-1.0-7.5
+0.7-0.2-0.9
Ravens vs Redskins+0.9*-1.0-1.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Giants vs Chiefs-0.8*+1.6+1.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Cowboys+0.6*+0.9-0.8
+0.0*+0.2-0.1
Lions vs Dolphins-0.3*+1.5+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.2*+1.0+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*+1.1-0.3
Jets vs Falcons+0.2*-0.3-0.3
Texans vs Cardinals+0.2*+1.4-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.2*+1.3-0.3
Bears vs Jaguars-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*+1.2-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Jets+5.0*+0.2-6.7
+0.6+0.0-0.8
Chargers vs Giants+0.8*+0.2-1.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.8*-1.1+1.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Redskins vs Bears-0.6*-2.3+0.8
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.2*+1.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.2*-1.4-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*+0.0+0.3
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.2*+0.9-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*+1.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eagles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100658*
2525-6-0In10001,255
24.524-6-1In10027
2424-7-0In991004,383*
23.523-7-1In10086
2323-8-0In9630113,709
22.522-8-1In964272
2222-9-0In90802035,805*
21.521-9-1In861202636
2121-10-0In7419105081,261*
20.520-10-1In632520911,396
2020-11-0100.0%4833701210157,800*
19.519-11-1In35361011612,604
1919-12-099.52034173204000269,390
18-11-2In19241043521
18.518-12-198.71229224248103,972
1818-13-094.6419259231551000401,322
17-12-294.1615321218123334
17.517-13-188.3111221320219205,801*
1717-14-071.6041616132217831000520,360
16-13-257.9112181821163338
16.516-14-154.0011017720231562007,212*
1616-15-033.000515311192116831000598,566
15-14-216.3259302816943
15.515-15-117.00110151422221572007,823
1515-16-09.60180151320221793100604,264
14-15-210.4826102715212848
14.514-16-14.8040161423241682007,182
1414-17-02.6020002613222418930538,093
13-16-2Out269192315212247
13.513-17-11.0102515262717615,921
1313-18-00.60100027172727164419,777
12-17-2Out81624408425
12.512-18-10.30002822322594,378
1212-19-00.10001313293619286,769
11-18-2Out484222623
11.511-19-10.100152141332,685
1111-20-00.00002133846172,041*
10.510-20-1Out01632611,515
1010-21-00.000003247289,731*
9.59-21-1Out11385735
99-22-0Out00118940,306*
8.58-22-1Out0594314
88-23-0Out049615,614
7.57-23-1Out298117
77-24-0Out01995,118
6.56-24-1Out10024
66-25-0Out01001,402
0-5.5Out100709*
Total:37.3%66676666666666664,311,312

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Eagles vs Seahawks-1.3+0.4+1.8
Saints vs Cowboys-0.1-0.5+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins+0.0-0.3-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Giants vs Chiefs+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Jets vs Falcons-0.0+0.1+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Colts vs Packers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Eagles vs Jets-1.3+0.1+1.7
Chargers vs Giants-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Redskins vs Bears+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
26.5-31100
2626-5-01000
25.525-5-1100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-0982100
23.523-7-1973
2323-8-0916301
22.522-8-186104
2222-9-0761480020
21.521-9-165211202
2121-10-04726191100500
20.520-10-1333024220901
2020-11-01731275700111100
19.519-11-1728261010011511
1919-12-021818171623016440000
18.518-12-1011821175401688010
1818-13-004316141091111213241000
17-12-26312249123151233
17.517-13-11011814112515155920
1717-14-0004313115111101214941000
16-13-2551838135181653
16.516-14-101098907317131710410
1616-15-00004510031105121615115210000
15-14-225991619161275
15.515-15-1001291503918221794100
1515-16-000117001002611161816116310000
14-15-226226156211019622
14.514-16-10040001410192320125100
1414-17-0002000001261217191812731000
13-16-22921171517496
13.513-17-1100151221252011410
1313-18-00010000149162121168310
12.512-18-100014122126221130
1212-19-0000001411202723112
11.511-19-100002102232259
1111-20-00001413283519
10.510-20-1014203936
1010-21-00002113751
9.59-21-1052668
99-22-00022078
8.58-22-111188
88-23-000793
7.57-23-1397
77-24-00298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
5.55-25-1100
55-26-00100
0-4100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333