SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Washington Redskins Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ravens vs Redskins-5.9*-1.5+5.9
-0.7*-0.1+0.7
Giants vs Chiefs-1.0*+0.8+1.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Cowboys+0.7*+0.9-0.7
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Eagles vs Seahawks-0.7*-0.5+0.7
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Titans vs Vikings+0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons+0.3*+2.4-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.3*+0.0+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.3*-1.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.2*+0.5-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.2*+2.6-0.2
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Redskins vs Bears+6.5*+1.9-6.5
+0.8*+0.2-0.8
Cowboys vs Jaguars-1.0*-3.0+1.0
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Chargers vs Giants+1.0*+3.3-1.0
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Eagles vs Jets-1.0*-1.9+1.0
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Ravens vs Saints+0.3*-0.6-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.2*+0.4-0.2
+0.0+0.2-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*-1.2+0.2
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.2*-1.8-0.2
+0.0*-0.3-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*-2.9+0.2
-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Redskins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
24.5-31In100756*
2424-7-0In99101,758
23.523-7-1In10036
2323-8-0In963015,193
22.522-8-1In953188
2222-9-0In88902013,259
21.521-9-1In8310160212
2121-10-0In7220206029,288
20.520-10-1In6422391516
2020-11-0100.0%453370131055,831
19-10-2In3333333
19.519-11-199.833361001730892
1919-12-099.4193418321510093,300
18-11-2In175017176
18.518-12-198.2929236239201,405
1818-13-093.6418249231651000136,542
17-12-290.010101010501010
17.517-13-185.91922141920112101,976
1717-14-069.404151613221893100176,078
16-13-271.4142114714141414
16.516-14-150.91915718241672002,325
1616-15-031.100414310192216831000197,799
15-14-223.115815231515813
15.515-15-116.5111041220231873102,520
1515-16-08.80070151320221793100198,634
14-15-27.7823311581513
14.514-16-14.504015132222199312,355
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,192
13-16-2Out1116112611161119
13.513-17-11.01001514252717711,983
1313-18-00.50000027172727154136,739
12-17-2Out204020205
12.512-18-10.2002723322791,429
1212-19-00.1000141329351993,219
11-18-2Out1156339
11.511-19-1Out06194134840
1111-20-00.0000313384655,630
10-19-2Out60405
10.510-20-1Out173062513
1010-21-0Out0003257229,454*
9.59-21-1Out01782230
99-22-0Out01118813,351*
8.58-22-1Out496101
88-23-0Out04965,064
7.57-23-1Out39732
77-24-0Out01991,713
6.56-24-1Out10010
66-25-0Out0100471
0-5.5Out100273*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Ravens vs Redskins+1.5*+0.1-1.5
Colts vs Packers-0.0-0.6+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Eagles vs Seahawks+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Saints vs Cowboys-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.0*-0.5+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.0*-0.4+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Redskins vs Bears-1.5*-0.5+1.5
Chargers vs Giants-0.1*-0.4+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.1*+0.6-0.1
Eagles vs Jets+0.1*+0.5-0.1
Ravens vs Saints-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.0*+0.5+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-01000
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-097110
23.523-7-1946
2323-8-0924301
22.522-8-186931
2222-9-0771190020
21.521-9-1671510160
2121-10-04922201200600
20.520-10-13728221391
2020-11-01827295700131100
19.519-11-1825279100016130
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-21717331717
18.518-12-10892019461669020
1818-13-00431514991121114251000
17-12-2101010105010
17.517-13-110981413161415511210
1717-14-00043121152111112151041000
16-13-21471414777217
16.516-14-1010988073151418124100
1616-15-0000045903110512161511621000
15-14-2888311531
15.515-15-11290402918221993100
1515-16-00001600100261116181612631000
14-15-2883183188
14.514-16-100400141119221912520
1414-17-0002000001261217191812731000
13-16-2551621162655
13.513-17-11000151321231912410
1313-18-00000000149162121168310
12-17-26040
12.512-18-1001412232821920
1212-19-000001411212722112
11-18-211116711
11.511-19-102102233258
1111-20-00001413293518
10-19-2402040
10.510-20-116174433
1010-21-0002123749
9.59-21-143165
99-22-00022177
8.58-22-1793
88-23-000892
7.57-23-1397
77-24-00298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)