SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chargers vs Steelers+6.5*+1.1-6.5
+0.8*+0.1-0.8
Giants vs Chiefs+1.0*+1.4-1.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Browns vs Raiders+0.7*-1.8-0.7
+0.0*-0.4-0.0
Broncos vs Bengals-0.6*-0.5+0.6
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.3*+1.9+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.3*-3.0+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.3*-1.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.3*+0.6+0.3
Colts vs Packers-0.3*+0.2+0.3
Titans vs Vikings-0.3*+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.3*-0.4-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars+0.3*-0.2-0.3
Ravens vs Redskins-0.2*+1.7+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chargers vs Giants+5.9*+1.4-5.9
+0.7*+0.1-0.7
Chiefs vs Packers-0.9*-2.8+1.0
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Browns vs Broncos+0.7*+0.2-0.7
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seahawks vs Titans+0.3*+3.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.3*+0.9+0.2
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.2*-1.1-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.2*+2.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.2*-0.9-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills+0.2*+1.4-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chargers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100255*
2525-6-0In9900486
24.524-6-1In1008
2424-7-0In99101,785
23.523-7-1In97334
2323-8-0In963015,353
22.522-8-1In964104
2222-9-0In88903013,409*
21.521-9-1In89101238
2121-10-0100.0%72202060029,002
20.520-10-1In62262010505
2020-11-0100.0463370131055,972*
19.519-11-199.930401011720975
1919-12-099.318341832151093,432*
18.518-12-198.58292352410101,491
1818-13-093.6418249231651000136,015
17-12-2In1414717
17.517-13-185.71921121922113001,966
1717-14-069.5041516132218931000174,916
16-13-273.372027137137715
16.516-14-150.11916617231772002,443
1616-15-031.100414310192216831000198,657
15-14-218.86663119191316
15.515-15-115.8110141220241783102,532
1515-16-08.80170151321221793100198,610
14-15-2Out91836189911
14.514-16-14.5040151222251992002,394*
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,416
13-16-2Out62912241261217
13.513-17-10.6101514262817712,054
1313-18-00.501000027172727164136,111
12-17-2Out91818183611
12.512-18-10.4002719352791,355
1212-19-00.10000141329351993,280
11-18-2Out13131313508
11.511-19-1Out14224230893
1111-20-00.00000313384655,883*
10.510-20-1Out153262486
1010-21-0Out0003257229,411*
9.59-21-1Out11584214
99-22-0Out00118813,499
8.58-22-1Out159499
88-23-0Out04965,251
7.57-23-1Out29842
77-24-0Out02981,729
6.56-24-1Out1006
66-25-0Out0100464
5.55-25-1Out1004
55-26-0Out199107
0-4Out100133*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Chargers vs Steelers-1.5*-0.2+1.5
Titans vs Vikings+0.0-0.2-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Broncos vs Bengals+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Browns vs Raiders-0.1*+0.7+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Chargers vs Giants-1.5-0.2+1.5
Seahawks vs Titans-0.0-0.4+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Browns vs Broncos-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Texans vs Buccaneers+0.0*-0.6-0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.0*-0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-098110
23.523-7-1973
2323-8-0924301
22.522-8-18974
2222-9-0771190030
21.521-9-17118101
2121-10-05022201206000
20.520-10-135282512010
2020-11-0182828570013110
19.519-11-1723309100115220
1919-12-02161815162301845010
18.518-12-10810181855019510010
1818-13-00431514991121214251000
17-12-214142943
17.517-13-110971411251418410400
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-272013131371377
16.516-14-110997063141418124100
1616-15-00004590311051216161162100
15-14-26666619251366
15.515-15-112814021017221811310
1515-16-001160100261116181612631000
14-15-29189182718
14.514-16-10040014102023191351000
1414-17-0002000001361217201712731000
13-16-212624291812
13.513-17-110151319242111310
1313-18-0010000149162121168310
12-17-2918182727
12.512-18-1001412222623112
1212-19-000001411212722112
11-18-23813132513
11.511-19-103102236218
1111-20-00001414293518
10.510-20-104164634
1010-21-0002113750
9.59-21-162867
99-22-0022177
8.58-22-111287
88-23-00892
7.57-23-11090
77-24-00397
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
5.55-25-1100
55-26-0199
0-4100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)