SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

New York Jets Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jets vs Falcons	+5.9*+3.3-5.9		+0.7*+0.2-0.7
Bills vs Buccaneers	-1.0*-0.7+1.0		-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Patriots	+1.0*+3.2-1.0		+0.1+0.2-0.1
Lions vs Dolphins	+0.9*+2.3-0.9		+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Bears vs Jaguars	+0.3*+0.6-0.3		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins	-0.3*-0.6+0.3		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Titans vs Vikings	-0.3*+1.4+0.3		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals	-0.3*+2.9+0.2		-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs	+0.2*-0.4-0.2
Colts vs Packers	-0.2*-1.6+0.2		-0.0*-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Eagles vs Jets	-5.9*-3.4+5.9		-0.7*-0.3+0.7
Cardinals vs Bills	+1.0*+1.0-1.0		+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Chiefs vs Packers	-0.3*-1.8+0.3		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars	+0.3*+1.2-0.3		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans	+0.3*+0.6-0.3		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Saints	-0.3*+0.7+0.3
Chargers vs Giants	-0.3*+0.5+0.3
Texans vs Buccaneers	-0.2*+1.2+0.2		-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jets finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

25.5	-31						In		100																241	*
25		25	-	6	-	0	In		100	0															459
24	.5	24	-	6	-	1	In		100																7
24		24	-	7	-	0	In		99	1			0												1,810
23	.5	23	-	7	-	1	In		96	4															27
23		23	-	8	-	0	In		96	3	0		1												5,168	*
22	.5	22	-	8	-	1	In		96	4															90
22		22	-	9	-	0	In		88	9	0		2	0											13,362	*
21	.5	21	-	9	-	1	In		85	12			3												239
21		21	-	10	-	0	In		72	20	2	0	7	0											29,252	*
20	.5	20	-	10	-	1	In		64	23	3		11	0											475
20		20	-	11	-	0	100.0	%	45	33	7	0	13	1	0	0									56,199
		19	-	10	-	2	In		17	67			17												6
19	.5	19	-	11	-	1	99.9		34	36	11	1	15	2	0										953
19		19	-	12	-	0	99.4		18	34	18	3	22	5	1	0									93,140	*
18	.5	18	-	12	-	1	98.3		9	29	20	5	25	10	1	0									1,406
18		18	-	13	-	0	93.7		4	18	24	9	23	16	5	1	0	0	0						136,391
		17	-	12	-	2	In		17	17	17		50												6
17	.5	17	-	13	-	1	86.4		1	9	22	14	19	22	10	3	0								2,036
17		17	-	14	-	0	69.6		0	4	15	16	13	22	18	9	3	1	0	0	0				174,750
		16	-	13	-	2	71.4				29			43	14	14									7
16	.5	16	-	14	-	1	49.0			1	6	16	7	18	24	16	8	3	0	0					2,335
16		16	-	15	-	0	31.0		0	0	4	14	3	10	19	22	16	8	3	1	0	0			198,270
		15	-	14	-	2	33.3					14	5	14	10	19	24	5	5		5				21
15	.5	15	-	15	-	1	16.2				1	11	1	4	11	22	24	16	8	2	0	0			2,543
15		15	-	16	-	0	8.8			0	1	7	0	1	5	13	21	22	17	9	3	1	0	0	198,762
		14	-	15	-	2	11.1					11				11	33	11	11		22				9
14	.5	14	-	16	-	1	4.0				0	4		0	1	5	14	21	24	19	8	3	0		2,266
14		14	-	17	-	0	2.3				0	2	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	9	2	0	175,577
		13	-	16	-	2	Out										7	7	36		43	7			14
13	.5	13	-	17	-	1	1.1					1				0	1	5	14	25	28	18	7	1	1,917	*
13		13	-	18	-	0	0.5				0	1			0	0	0	2	7	17	27	27	15	4	136,630
		12	-	17	-	2	11.1					11									11	22	44	11	9
12	.5	12	-	18	-	1	0.3					0						0	2	9	19	32	27	11	1,423
12		12	-	19	-	0	0.1					0					0	0	1	4	13	28	36	19	93,296
		11	-	18	-	2	Out															33	33	33	6
11	.5	11	-	19	-	1	Out													1	5	20	40	34	921
11		11	-	20	-	0	0.0					0							0	0	3	14	39	45	56,234
		10	-	19	-	2	Out																83	17	6
10	.5	10	-	20	-	1	Out														0	6	32	61	513
10		10	-	21	-	0	Out														0	3	24	72	29,204	*
9	.5	9	-	21	-	1	Out															0	16	84	241
9		9	-	22	-	0	Out														0	1	11	88	13,118
8	.5	8	-	22	-	1	Out															1	4	95	95
8		8	-	23	-	0	Out														0	0	4	96	5,158
7	.5	7	-	23	-	1	Out																3	97	29
7		7	-	24	-	0	Out															0	1	99	1,756	*
6	.5	6	-	24	-	1	Out																	100	9
6		6	-	25	-	0	Out																1	99	470
0	-5.5						Out																	100	248	*

Total:							37.5	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	1,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jets vs Falcons	-1.5*-0.4+1.5
Ravens vs Redskins	+0.0+0.3-0.0
Bills vs Buccaneers	+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Panthers vs Patriots	-0.1*-0.4+0.1
Lions vs Dolphins	-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Bears vs Jaguars	-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Titans vs Vikings	+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Colts vs Packers	+0.0*+0.3-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Eagles vs Jets	+1.5+0.6-1.5
Texans vs Buccaneers	+0.0-0.3-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills	-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars	-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans	-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Chiefs vs Packers	+0.0*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

27	-31						100
26		26	-	5	-	0	99	1
25	.5	25	-	5	-	1	100
25		25	-	6	-	0	100	0	0
24	.5	24	-	6	-	1	100
24		24	-	7	-	0	98	1	1						0
23	.5	23	-	7	-	1	96		4
23		23	-	8	-	0	92	4	3		0				1
22	.5	22	-	8	-	1	93	2	4
22		22	-	9	-	0	77	11	9	0	0				2		0
21	.5	21	-	9	-	1	69	15	12						3
21		21	-	10	-	0	50	22	19	1	2		0		6	0	0
20	.5	20	-	10	-	1	39	25	22	1	3				11		0
20		20	-	11	-	0	18	27	29	5	7	0	0		12	1	1		0	0
19	.5	19	-	11	-	1	7	27	26	10	11	0	1		15	1	2		0
19		19	-	12	-	0	2	16	19	15	16	2	3	0	18	4	5	0	1	0
18	.5	18	-	12	-	1	0	9	9	21	16	4	5		18	7	10	0	1	0
18		18	-	13	-	0	0	4	3	15	14	9	9	1	11	12	14	2	5	1	0	0	0
17	.5	17	-	13	-	1		1	0	8	8	13	12	2	5	14	16	5	10	3	1
17		17	-	14	-	0		0	0	4	3	12	11	5	2	11	11	11	15	10	4	1	0	0	0
		16	-	13	-	2						29					29	14	14	14
16	.5	16	-	14	-	1				1	0	6	9	7	0	7	3	15	14	17	13	5	1	0
16		16	-	15	-	0		0		0	0	4	5	9	0	3	1	10	5	12	16	16	11	6	2	1	0	0	0
		15	-	14	-	2							5	10		5		14		5	19	10	24		10
15	.5	15	-	15	-	1						1	2	9		1	0	4	0	3	9	17	21	18	11	3	1	0
15		15	-	16	-	0				0	0	1	1	6		0	0	1	0	0	2	6	11	16	18	16	11	6	3	1	0	0	0	0
		14	-	15	-	2								11								22	22		11	22	11
14	.5	14	-	16	-	1						0	0	4				0				0	1	3	11	18	22	20	13	5	2	0	0
14		14	-	17	-	0						0	0	2		0		0			0	0	0	1	2	6	12	17	20	17	12	7	2	1	0	0	0
		13	-	16	-	2																					7	29	29	7	29
13	.5	13	-	17	-	1							0	1										0		0	2	5	12	21	23	20	12	4	1	0
13		13	-	18	-	0						0	0	1										0	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0
		12	-	17	-	2								11																11		22	22	11	22
12	.5	12	-	18	-	1								0																1	4	12	22	26	21	11	3	0
12		12	-	19	-	0								0														0	0	0	1	4	11	21	27	22	11	2
11	.5	11	-	19	-	1																										1	3	9	22	31	27	7
11		11	-	20	-	0								0																0	0	0	1	4	14	29	35	18
10	.5	10	-	20	-	1																											0	0	5	19	36	39
10		10	-	21	-	0																											0	0	2	11	37	50
9	.5	9	-	21	-	1																														3	29	68
9		9	-	22	-	0																													0	2	20	77
8	.5	8	-	22	-	1																														1	7	92
8		8	-	23	-	0																													0	0	8	91
7	.5	7	-	23	-	1																															10	90
7		7	-	24	-	0																														0	3	97
6	.5	6	-	24	-	1																																100
6		6	-	25	-	0																															1	99
0	-5.5																																					100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3