SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Gracias

Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs Bengals+6.5*-0.7-6.5
+0.8*-0.1-0.8
Giants vs Chiefs+1.0*+0.1-1.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Chargers vs Steelers-0.7*+0.6+0.7
Browns vs Raiders+0.7*+2.0-0.7
Bills vs Buccaneers-0.3*-0.3+0.3
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Jets vs Falcons-0.3*-0.6+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins+0.3*+1.6-0.3
+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Bears vs Jaguars+0.2*-2.0-0.2
Ravens vs Redskins-0.2*-1.3+0.2
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Titans vs Vikings-0.2*-3.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.2*+1.4-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.2*+2.5+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Colts vs Packers-0.2*-1.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Browns vs Broncos-6.5*+1.4+6.5
-0.8*+0.2+0.8
Chargers vs Giants-1.0*+2.5+1.0
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Chiefs vs Packers-1.0*-0.4+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.4*-1.1-0.4
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Ravens vs Saints-0.3*-0.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Eagles vs Jets+0.3*-0.3-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seahawks vs Titans+0.3*-1.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Bills+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Texans vs Buccaneers-0.2*-0.9+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Broncos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100240*
2525-6-0In1000472
24.524-6-1In1008
2424-7-0In99111,734
23.523-7-1In97337
2323-8-0In9630105,198
22.522-8-1In932586
2222-9-0In88903013,310
21.521-9-1In801415242
2121-10-0In7220206029,115*
20.520-10-1In612919482
2020-11-0100.0%453370131056,130
19-10-2In2020605
19.519-11-199.932361211820879
1919-12-099.3193318322510093,008
18-11-2In255013138
18.518-12-198.29272452592001,505
1818-13-093.6418249231651000136,036
17-12-2In381338138
17.517-13-186.811022141822112002,023
1717-14-069.504151613221893100175,520
16-13-277.81122222211119
16.516-14-150.101916618241672002,377
1616-15-031.100414310192216831000198,710
15-14-217.661224122418617
15.515-15-116.80110151221231772102,567
1515-16-08.90070151321221793100198,825
14-15-2Out255013138
14.514-16-14.40400151422251883002,374
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,741
13-16-2Out999452711
13.513-17-11.21001615242620611,978
1313-18-00.50100027172727164135,903
12-17-28.381725331712
12.512-18-10.20003822322791,401
1212-19-00.1000141329351993,228
11-18-2Out2040405
11.511-19-1Out14194135901
1111-20-00.0000313384656,008*
10.510-20-1Out063064484
1010-21-0Out003257229,112*
9.59-21-1Out21583226*
99-22-0Out00118913,300
8.58-22-1Out89299
88-23-0Out04965,333
7.57-23-1Out10034
77-24-0Out2981,688
6.56-24-1Out10016
66-25-0Out0100458
0-5.5Out100233*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs Bengals-1.5*+0.4+1.5
Lions vs Dolphins-0.0-0.9+0.0
Titans vs Vikings+0.0+0.6-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Chargers vs Steelers+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Browns vs Raiders-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Bills vs Buccaneers+0.0*+0.5-0.0
Ravens vs Redskins+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.0*-0.3-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Browns vs Broncos+1.5*-0.5-1.5
Chargers vs Giants+0.1-0.4-0.1
Chiefs vs Packers+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Saints+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.0*+0.5+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-010000
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-097111
23.523-7-1973
2323-8-09243010
22.522-8-190325
2222-9-07711900300
21.521-9-165151415
2121-10-0502220120600
20.520-10-13427281190
2020-11-01827285700013110
19-10-2202060
19.519-11-1725297110117120
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-22538131313
18.518-12-109819204518780200
1818-13-00431514991111214251000
17-12-2132513251313
17.517-13-110991312261317510300
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-2111111111111111111
16.516-14-10118886315141712510
1616-15-000045903110512161611621000
15-14-26126121829666
15.515-15-101291513917211910410
1515-16-00001600100261116181612631000
14-15-21325252513
14.514-16-1004000141020242010510
1414-17-0002000001261217191712721000
13-16-299362799
13.513-17-1100151222241910410
1313-18-0001000149162121168310
12-17-281781725178
12.512-18-10015112124231120
1212-19-000001411212722112
11-18-220204020
11.511-19-102102133278
1111-20-00001413293518
10.510-20-112203741
1010-21-0002113749
9.59-21-1043066
99-22-0022077
8.58-22-11090
88-23-00892
7.57-23-1397
77-24-0397
6.56-24-1100
66-25-00100
0-5.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)