Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2015 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Bears vs Jaguars | +5.9*+2.6-5.9 | | +0.7*+0.4-0.7 | | Titans vs Vikings | +0.9*-2.0-0.9 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Lions vs Dolphins | -0.9*+1.7+0.9 | | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | Colts vs Packers | +0.9*-1.2-0.9 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Bills vs Buccaneers | +0.3*-4.5-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | | Panthers vs Patriots | -0.3*-1.6+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Jets vs Falcons | +0.3*-1.8-0.3 | | | | Texans vs Cardinals | +0.2*-0.8-0.2 | | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Giants vs Chiefs | -0.2*-1.1+0.2 | | -0.0*-0.4+0.0 | | Ravens vs Redskins | +0.2*-0.4-0.2 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Redskins vs Bears | -6.5*+2.9+6.5 | | -0.8*+0.2+0.8 | | Chiefs vs Packers | +1.0*+0.5-1.0 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | Falcons vs Vikings | +0.7*-1.5-0.7 | | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | Rams vs Lions | +0.6*+0.1-0.6 | | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Seahawks vs Titans | -0.4*-0.6+0.4 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Cardinals vs Bills | -0.3*+0.9+0.3 | | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | +0.3*-1.6-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | -0.3*+3.3+0.3 | | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Chargers vs Giants | +0.2*-1.0-0.2 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Ravens vs Saints | +0.2*+2.9-0.2 | | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | | Eagles vs Jets | -0.2*-2.0+0.2 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bears finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25.5 | -31 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 244 | * | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 489 | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 94 | | | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,819 | * | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 3 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,260 | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | 94 | 4 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 9 | 0 | | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13,451 | * | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | In | 85 | 12 | 0 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 234 | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 72 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 29,398 | * | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | In | 60 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 457 | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | 45 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 55,812 | * | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | 30 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 852 | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 99.3 | | 19 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 92,893 | | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 2 | In | 25 | | 13 | | 38 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 98.5 | | 8 | 26 | 23 | 6 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,430 | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 93.6 | | 4 | 18 | 24 | 9 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 135,947 | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | 80.0 | | 10 | 20 | | | 30 | 20 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | 84.9 | | 1 | 9 | 22 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | 1,955 | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | 69.5 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 175,425 | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | 66.7 | | | | 7 | 27 | 20 | 13 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | 49.6 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | 2,462 | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | 31.0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 198,846 | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | 40.0 | | | | 7 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 7 | 13 | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | 16.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 2,523 | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | 8.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198,387 | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | 13.0 | | | | 4 | 9 | | | 9 | 13 | 17 | 22 | 17 | 9 | | | | | 23 | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | 4.1 | | | | 0 | 4 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | | 2,338 | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | 2.3 | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 175,261 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 44 | 22 | | | | 9 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | 1.4 | | | | | 1 | | | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 2,026 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0.5 | | | | | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 136,537 | | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 53 | 7 | 7 | 15 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 36 | 24 | 9 | 1,461 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 35 | 19 | 93,021 | | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | | 6 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 22 | 38 | 32 | 893 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 46 | 56,237 | | | 10 | - | 19 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 80 | 5 | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 36 | 55 | 458 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 29,132 | * | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 16 | 84 | 239 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 13,394 | * | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | 89 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 5,282 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | 44 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 1,734 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 14 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 520 | | 0 | -5.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 265 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 37.5 | % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1,437,104 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Bears vs Jaguars | -1.5*-0.6+1.5 | | Titans vs Vikings | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | Lions vs Dolphins | +0.1*-0.4-0.1 | | Colts vs Packers | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | | Bills vs Buccaneers | -0.0*+0.5+0.0 | | Jets vs Falcons | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Panthers vs Patriots | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Texans vs Cardinals | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Redskins vs Bears | +1.5*-0.5-1.5 | | Ravens vs Saints | -0.0-0.5+0.0 | | Rams vs Lions | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | | Eagles vs Jets | +0.0+0.4-0.0 | | Chiefs vs Packers | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | | Falcons vs Vikings | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | Seahawks vs Titans | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | +0.0*-0.5-0.0 | | Cardinals vs Bills | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Chargers vs Giants | -0.0*+0.4+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25.5 | -31 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 99 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 88 | 6 | | | | | | | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 97 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 92 | 4 | 3 | | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 86 | 8 | 4 | | | | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 77 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 68 | 18 | 12 | | 0 | | | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 49 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 36 | 23 | 24 | 1 | 4 | | 0 | | 11 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 18 | 27 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 12 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | 17 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | 25 | | | 13 | | | | 38 | | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 6 | | 18 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | 10 | | 20 | | | | | 20 | 10 | 20 | | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | 7 | 20 | 7 | | 20 | 13 | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | 7 | 13 | 7 | | 7 | | 7 | | 13 | 20 | | 27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | | 1 | | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | 4 | | 9 | | | | | | | | 4 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26 | 9 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | | | 0 | | | | | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 26 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 2 | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 17 | | 17 | 33 | 17 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 26 | 8 | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 35 | 18 | | 10 | - | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 60 | 20 | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 31 | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 49 | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 29 | 69 | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 92 | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 24 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 6 | | 6 | - | 25 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 0 | -5.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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