New England Patriots Playoff Chances 2015 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Panthers vs Patriots | -6.0*-4.6+6.0 | | -0.7*-0.3+0.7 | | Lions vs Dolphins | +1.0*+0.2-1.0 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Bills vs Buccaneers | -1.0*-1.8+1.0 | | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | Jets vs Falcons | -0.9*+1.0+0.9 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Texans vs Cardinals | -0.3*+2.2+0.3 | | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | | Bears vs Jaguars | +0.3*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Giants vs Chiefs | +0.3*+0.5-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Colts vs Packers | -0.3*-0.4+0.3 | | | | Ravens vs Redskins | -0.2*-1.8+0.2 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Titans vs Vikings | -0.2*-0.8+0.2 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Patriots vs Dolphins | +8.1*-4.6-8.1 | | +0.9*-0.3-0.9 | | Eagles vs Jets | +0.9*+0.6-0.9 | | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Cardinals vs Bills | +0.9*+0.9-0.9 | | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Chargers vs Giants | -0.2*-1.4+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | | Seahawks vs Titans | +0.2*+0.4-0.2 | | | | Ravens vs Saints | -0.2*+2.4+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | | Cowboys vs Jaguars | +0.2*-2.0-0.2 | | | | Texans vs Buccaneers | -0.2*-0.3+0.2 | | | | Chiefs vs Packers | -0.2*-2.0+0.2 | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Patriots finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25.5 | -31 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 254 | * | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 473 | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,716 | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 3 | | | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 4,988 | * | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 9 | 0 | | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13,323 | | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | In | 82 | 13 | 1 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 233 | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | In | 72 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 29,304 | * | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | In | 59 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 517 | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 45 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 55,899 | | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 2 | In | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 32 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 887 | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 99.3 | | 19 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 93,570 | | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 2 | In | 20 | 20 | | | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 98.0 | | 9 | 29 | 22 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1,421 | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 93.7 | | 4 | 18 | 24 | 9 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 136,223 | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | 90.0 | | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 10 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | 85.9 | | 1 | 10 | 20 | 14 | 19 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | 1,961 | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | 69.7 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 174,901 | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | 69.2 | | | | 8 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 23 | 8 | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | 50.5 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2,372 | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | 31.0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 198,546 | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | 25.0 | | | | 6 | | | 19 | 31 | 13 | 31 | | | | | | | | 16 | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | 15.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | 2,566 | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | 8.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198,311 | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | 15.0 | | | | | 10 | | 5 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 20 | 10 | | | | 20 | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | 4.1 | | | | 0 | 4 | | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2,454 | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | 2.3 | | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 175,131 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 7 | | | 14 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | 0.9 | | | | | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1,931 | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 136,670 | | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | 17 | 17 | 6 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 2 | 8 | 20 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 1,464 | | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 35 | 19 | 93,841 | | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 44 | 22 | 9 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 30 | 855 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | 55,867 | * | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 34 | 61 | 454 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 72 | 29,343 | | | 9 | - | 20 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 4 | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 83 | 230 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 88 | 13,310 | | | 8 | - | 21 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 3 | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 92 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 5,243 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 20 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 1,736 | | 0 | -6.5 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 763 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 37.5 | % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1,437,104 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Thursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Panthers vs Patriots | +1.5+0.6-1.5 | | Lions vs Dolphins | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | Bills vs Buccaneers | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | Jets vs Falcons | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | | Bears vs Jaguars | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | Texans vs Cardinals | +0.0*-0.7-0.0 | | Ravens vs Redskins | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Titans vs Vikings | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | | Colts vs Packers | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | | Giants vs Chiefs | -0.0*-0.4+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Patriots vs Dolphins | -1.8*+0.7+1.8 | | Cardinals vs Bills | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | | Eagles vs Jets | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | | Chargers vs Giants | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | | Texans vs Buccaneers | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | | Seahawks vs Titans | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | | Ravens vs Saints | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25.5 | -31 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 100 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | .5 | 24 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 97 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | .5 | 23 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 97 | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 92 | 4 | 3 | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | .5 | 22 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 88 | 8 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 78 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | .5 | 21 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 63 | 19 | 13 | | 1 | | | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 50 | 22 | 20 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | .5 | 20 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 35 | 24 | 27 | 1 | 3 | | 0 | | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 13 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 2 | 50 | 33 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | .5 | 19 | - | 11 | - | 1 | 8 | 24 | 30 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | | 16 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | 20 | | 20 | | | | | 40 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | .5 | 18 | - | 12 | - | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 19 | 3 | 4 | | 16 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 18 | - | 13 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | 10 | | 10 | | 10 | 10 | | 40 | | 10 | | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 17 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 17 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 2 | | | | | | 8 | 8 | | | 8 | 31 | 15 | 23 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 16 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | 0 | | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 8 | | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 16 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | - | 14 | - | 2 | | | | | | 6 | | | | | | 19 | 13 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 15 | - | 15 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 2 | 8 | | 1 | | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 16 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 14 | - | 15 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 5 | 5 | | | | 5 | | | | | 10 | 10 | 25 | 25 | 10 | | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 16 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 17 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 13 | - | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 7 | 14 | | | 7 | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 18 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | 12 | - | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | | 33 | | 33 | | 17 | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 12 | | 12 | - | 19 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 2 | | 11 | - | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 11 | 33 | 44 | | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 19 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 11 | | 11 | - | 20 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 20 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 36 | 10 | | 10 | - | 21 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 49 | | 9 | - | 20 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 21 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 24 | 70 | 9 | | 9 | - | 22 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 77 | | 8 | - | 21 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 22 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 86 | 8 | | 8 | - | 23 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 23 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | 7 | | 7 | - | 24 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 0 | -6.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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