SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Joy

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bills vs Buccaneers-6.0*+1.5+6.0
-0.7+0.2+0.7
Jets vs Falcons+1.0*-1.5-0.9
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Panthers vs Patriots-0.9*+3.0+0.9
-0.1*+0.4+0.1
Saints vs Cowboys-0.6*-0.1+0.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Redskins+0.3*+3.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Texans vs Cardinals+0.3*-1.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Giants vs Chiefs-0.3*-1.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Bears vs Jaguars-0.3*-3.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.6+0.0
Lions vs Dolphins-0.2*-0.9+0.3
Titans vs Vikings+0.2*+1.5-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Colts vs Packers+0.2*+2.4-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Texans vs Buccaneers-5.9*-1.3+5.9
-0.7*-0.2+0.7
Ravens vs Saints+1.0*-1.5-1.0
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Falcons vs Vikings-0.7*-1.8+0.7
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
49ers vs Panthers+0.7*-0.4-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chiefs vs Packers+0.3*-1.4-0.3
Chargers vs Giants+0.2*+0.7-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars-0.2*-0.8+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seahawks vs Titans-0.2*+2.6+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Eagles vs Jets-0.2*+3.6+0.2
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Cardinals vs Bills-0.2*+3.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buccaneers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
25.5-31In100264*
2525-6-0In1000504
24.524-6-1In10013
2424-7-0In99101,694
23.523-7-1In10029
2323-8-0In963105,171
22.522-8-1In9631101
2222-9-0In889002013,312
21.521-9-1In81172227
2121-10-0In7220206029,448*
20.520-10-1In63224111491
2020-11-0100.0%4633701310056,162*
19.519-11-199.832381311610891
1919-12-099.3193318322510093,472
18-11-2In114411339
18.518-12-197.4928234258201,448
1818-13-093.741824923165100136,584
17-12-2In201020203010
17.517-13-185.611022122021113101,881
1717-14-069.604151613221893100174,458
16-13-278.951632111651619
16.516-14-150.92916618211782102,394
1616-15-031.000414310192216831000198,579
15-14-28.3817423312
15.515-15-116.20111041222221782002,580
1515-16-08.90070151320221793100198,213
14-15-29.1945271811
14.514-16-14.3040151224241882102,326
1414-17-02.3020002614222418920175,603
13-16-2Out5515203020520
13.513-17-11.4101414252719711,976
1313-18-00.5000027172727154136,510
12-17-2Out11561111119
12.512-18-10.1002721322991,403
1212-19-00.1000141329351993,021
11-18-2Out2233449
11.511-19-1Out15214430862
1111-20-00.00000313394556,001*
10.510-20-1Out173260483
1010-21-0Out003257229,434
9.59-21-1Out1882241
99-22-0Out00118813,374
8.58-22-1Out49683
88-23-0Out4965,255*
7.57-23-1Out10037
77-24-0Out1991,756
6.56-24-1Out10012
66-25-0Out0100457
55-26-0Out199115
0-4.5Out100140*
Total:37.5%66666666666666661,437,104

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Bills vs Buccaneers+1.5*-0.4-1.5
Bears vs Jaguars+0.0+1.2-0.0
Panthers vs Patriots+0.1*-0.9-0.1
Jets vs Falcons-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Saints vs Cowboys+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Redskins-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Giants vs Chiefs+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Texans vs Cardinals-0.0*+0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Texans vs Buccaneers+1.5*+0.4-1.5
Ravens vs Saints-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Falcons vs Vikings+0.1*+0.4-0.1
49ers vs Panthers-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Chargers vs Giants-0.0-0.2+0.0
Chiefs vs Packers-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cowboys vs Jaguars+0.0*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
25.5-31100
2525-6-09900
24.524-6-1100
2424-7-097110
23.523-7-1100
2323-8-0924310
22.522-8-1861031
2222-9-07711900020
21.521-9-16615172
2121-10-04923191200600
20.520-10-136272114111
2020-11-018272857001211000
19.519-11-18242810130114110
1919-12-021618151623018450100
18-11-21133111133
18.518-12-1099191944187820
1818-13-0043151499112121425100
17-12-220102010102010
17.517-13-111981411161515511310
1717-14-00043121152111111151041000
16-13-2516265551155115
16.516-14-12088806315121713520
1616-15-000045903110512171511621000
15-14-281782517178
15.515-15-1012904029182317104100
1515-16-00001600100261116181611631000
14-15-29927181818
14.514-16-10040001510192420114100
1414-17-0002000001261217191712631000
13-16-2105520302055
13.513-17-1100151220252011410
1313-18-0000000149162121168310
12-17-222114422
12.512-18-10014102225231020
1212-19-00001411212722112
11-18-21122332211
11.511-19-10282335248
1111-20-000001413293518
10.510-20-14244033
1010-21-0002113750
9.59-21-122968
99-22-00022077
8.58-22-11090
88-23-00892
7.57-23-1397
77-24-00298
6.56-24-1100
66-25-0199
55-26-0199
0-4.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:04 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)