SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 28.4%

5-5-0 .500

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20	-0.8		+0.0
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23	+0.7
Washington 21 Houston 23			-0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21			-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Indianapolis vs Miami	-12.7*+0.9+12.7		-1.2*+0.1+1.2
NY Jets vs New England	+3.5*-4.4-3.5		+0.2*-0.5-0.2
Baltimore vs Oakland	-1.7*-2.2+1.7		-0.1*+0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona	-0.8*-0.6+0.8		-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee	+0.6*+5.7-0.6		+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland	-0.5*+2.1+0.5		-0.0-0.2+0.0
Buffalo vs Jacksonville	-0.4*+2.9+0.4		-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Denver vs Pittsburgh	+0.2*-0.7-0.2		-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

11		6	-	0	-	0	In		10	43	36	9	3	0											10,436
10	.5	5	-	0	-	1	In		9	29	27	7	18	11											56
10		5	-	1	-	0	98.1	%	0	7	29	32	14	15	2	0	0								62,719
9	.5	4	-	1	-	1	88.8			2	17	20	15	35	10	1									242
9		4	-	2	-	0	61.9			0	5	26	5	25	25	11	2	0	0						157,421
8	.5	3	-	2	-	1	24.3					11	1	13	32	29	13	2							494
8		3	-	3	-	0	10.1			0	0	7	0	3	15	30	28	13	3	0	0				209,926
		2	-	2	-	2	50.0							50	50										2
7	.5	2	-	3	-	1	0.6					0		0	2	9	28	37	19	5	0				495
7		2	-	4	-	0	0.2					0		0	0	2	10	25	32	21	8	1	0		157,588
		1	-	3	-	2	Out												100						1
6	.5	1	-	4	-	1	Out										0	4	17	32	29	15	2		250
6		1	-	5	-	0	Out										0	0	4	19	36	31	9	0	63,199
5	.5	0	-	5	-	1	Out													2	21	32	45		47
5		0	-	6	-	0	Out													0	5	34	54	7	10,452

Total:							28.4	%	0	1	4	11	3	8	11	12	12	10	9	7	5	4	2	0	673,328

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7	-0.1
Arizona 21 Oakland 23	-0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21	+0.1
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23	+0.0
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20	-0.0
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10	+0.0
Seattle 27 Green Bay 24	+0.0
Detroit 20 Carolina 19	+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
LA Rams vs Kansas City	+0.0-0.2-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Miami	+2.5-1.1-2.5
NY Jets vs New England	-0.3*+0.8+0.3
Buffalo vs Jacksonville	-0.0-0.6+0.0
Baltimore vs Oakland	+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Chicago	+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Denver vs Pittsburgh	+0.1*-0.2-0.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta	-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee	-0.0*-0.8+0.0
Cincinnati vs Cleveland	-0.0*+0.5+0.0
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco	+0.0*-0.5-0.0
Dallas vs Washington	+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Minnesota vs Green Bay	-0.0*+0.6+0.0
Carolina vs Seattle	-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Philadelphia vs NY Giants	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
LA Chargers vs Arizona	+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

11		6	-	0	-	0	0	10	6	37	25	11	8	0	2	0	0
10	.5	5	-	0	-	1		9	4	25	20	7	7		18		11
10		5	-	1	-	0		0	0	7	7	22	24	8	9	5	14	1	2	0	0
9	.5	4	-	1	-	1				2	2	14	12	7	9	6	33	2	10	1
9		4	-	2	-	0				0	0	5	9	18	1	4	14	11	16	15	6	1	0	0	0
8	.5	3	-	2	-	1							2	9		1	3	10	14	26	23	8	3	1
8		3	-	3	-	0				0		0	0	6		0	0	3	0	2	7	15	22	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
		2	-	2	-	2												50								50
7	.5	2	-	3	-	1								0				0		0	0	4	14	22	25	18	11	4	0	0
7		2	-	4	-	0							0	0				0			0	0	0	0	1	5	12	21	25	20	10	4	1	0	0
		1	-	3	-	2																								100
6	.5	1	-	4	-	1																			0	0	4	12	22	23	22	11	4	2
6		1	-	5	-	0																					0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	15	5	1	0
5	.5	0	-	5	-	1																									4	4	19	40	28	2	2
5		0	-	6	-	0																									0	0	1	8	22	36	26	7

Total:							0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	1	2	5	4	4	4	4	5	7	7	5	3	3	5	6	5	3	2	3	3	2	1	0	0