Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Atlanta 22-19, playoff odds up 15.2 to 37.5%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +9.8 | +1.2 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +2.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +1.0 | -0.0 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +1.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.0 | |||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dallas vs Washington | +20.6*-5.1-20.5 | +1.5-0.3-1.5 | ||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -1.6*+4.8+1.6 | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | ||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.6*-1.8+0.6 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.6*+1.4-0.6 | |||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0*-0.5+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 11 | 39 | 42 | 8 | 10,457 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 15 | 66 | 13 | 5 | 61 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.6 | % | 0 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 62,945 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 96.8 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 249 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 81.8 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 156,940 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 57.1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 27 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 501 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 23.2 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 210,079 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3.3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 519 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157,639 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 15 | 32 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 254 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 63,062 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 7 | 28 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 60 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 10,561 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 37.5 | % | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 673,328 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -2.4 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.2 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.1 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.0 | |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | +0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dallas vs Washington | -3.2+0.4+3.2 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0+0.9+0.0 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1-0.5-0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0+0.5+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.2*-0.7-0.2 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.1*-0.6-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 23 | 13 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 40 | 20 | 5 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 19 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
