Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.0008 to 2.3%
3-7-0 .300
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.1 | |||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.1 | |||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.0 | |||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +1.7*-1.2-1.7 | +1.0*-0.4-1.0 | ||
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.9*-1.5-0.9 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.2*-1.6-0.2 | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1*+0.8+0.1 | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 65.9 | % | 0 | 6 | 43 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10,632 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 28.3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 19 | 2 | 53 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 12.9 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 62,957 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 250 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 157,499 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 2 | 483 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 208,982 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 15 | 42 | 37 | 4 | 492 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 48 | 16 | 157,961 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 13 | 59 | 28 | 272 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 4 | 45 | 52 | 63,200 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 39 | 61 | 41 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 17 | 83 | 10,504 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 10 | 673,328 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.1 | |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | -2.0*+0.8+2.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.2*-0.5+0.2 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.1*+0.8-0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.1*+0.4+0.1 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 21 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 35 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 28 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 7 | 44 | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 71 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 4 | |||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
