AFC East Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

New England		7	-	3	-	0	.700	44	86.9	%	+0.4	11	22	24	23	2	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		3.7	-0.02	4	New England Patriots

Miami		5	-	5	-	0	.500	-57	28.4		+0.8	0	1	4	11	3	8	11	12	12	10	9	7	5	4	2	0	8.3	-0.05	20	Miami Dolphins
Buffalo		3	-	7	-	0	.300	-114	2.3		+0.0		0	0	2	0	0	1	3	4	6	9	12	15	18	19	10	12.8	-0.14	21	Buffalo Bills
NY Jets		3	-	7	-	0	.300	-46	1.7		-0.0		0	0	1	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	11	14	18	24	8	12.9	-0.12	30	New York Jets

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/15
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-0.3		-0.1
Miami	-0.8		+0.0
Buffalo			+0.1
NY Jets			+0.1

LA Chargers 22 Denver 23
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England			+0.0
Miami	+0.7
Buffalo			-0.1
NY Jets			-0.1

Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	+0.4		+0.1
Buffalo			-0.0
NY Jets			-0.0

Washington 21 Houston 23
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-0.3		-0.1
Miami			-0.0
Buffalo			-0.0

Arizona 21 Oakland 23
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo			-0.1
NY Jets			-0.0

Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England			+0.0
Miami			-0.0

LA Rams vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England			3.73.93.8

Week of 11/22
Indianapolis vs MiamiIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	88.8*89.184.9		3.6*3.63.9
Miami	15.7*29.341.1		9.6*8.27.1
Buffalo	2.5*0.82.1
NY Jets	2.1*1.11.4

NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	79.1*90.794.6		4.43.53.0
Miami	31.9*24.024.9		8.2*8.98.5
Buffalo	3.2*0.81.4		12.8*12.812.7
NY Jets	3.4*1.60.1		12.0*13.013.8

Buffalo vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	86.3*86.887.4		3.7*3.83.7
Miami	28.0*31.328.8		8.4*8.08.3
Buffalo	4.0*1.10.7		11.8*13.213.8
NY Jets			12.9*12.712.9

Baltimore vs OaklandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	86.2*88.387.5		3.8*3.63.7
Miami	26.7*26.130.0		8.5*8.38.2
Buffalo	2.2*2.12.4		12.7*12.812.8
NY Jets	1.6*2.51.9

LA Chargers vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	86.5*85.587.2		3.7*3.93.7
Miami	27.6*27.829.1		8.4*8.38.3
Buffalo	2.2*3.12.4
NY Jets	1.6*1.21.8

Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	87.1*85.486.6		3.7*4.03.7
Miami	29.0*34.127.8		8.3*8.18.4
Buffalo			12.7*13.012.9
NY Jets			12.8*13.112.9

Cincinnati vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England			3.7*3.83.7
Miami	27.9*30.528.8		8.38.68.3
Buffalo			12.8*13.012.8

Denver vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England			3.6*3.73.8
Miami	28.6*27.728.2		8.4*8.58.3
Buffalo			12.912.812.7
NY Jets			13.012.912.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.