Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Detroit 19-20, playoff odds down 8.7 to 60.5%
6-4-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -12.0 | -0.8 | ||
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +1.0 | +0.0 | ||
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.7 | +0.0 | ||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +0.6 | +0.0 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +18.3*+4.1-18.5 | +1.0+0.2-1.0 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +1.7*-1.7-1.6 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -1.1*+5.0+1.1 | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.9*-2.9+0.9 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.5*+3.0+0.5 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.4*+2.4+0.4 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.4*-1.6+0.4 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 53 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10,682 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 21 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 48 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 10 | 31 | 14 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 63,087 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 76 | 3 | 272 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.6 | % | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 157,338 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 69 | 26 | 2 | 497 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 75.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 209,793 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 49.0 | 12 | 37 | 28 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 518 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 10.9 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157,175 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 271 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 63,015 | |||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 14 | 24 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 49 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 10,583 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 60.5 | % | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +1.5 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.3 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.0 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -0.0 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -1.8+0.1+1.8 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0-0.4-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0-0.3-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1*+0.4-0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.5-0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 11 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 23 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 24 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 54 | 21 | 5 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 12 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 16 | 10 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
