Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Oakland 21-23, playoff odds down 0.6 to 0.4%
2-8-0 .200
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +0.1 | |||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.4*-0.0+0.4 | -0.6-0.6+0.6 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.1*Out+0.1 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.1*Out+0.1 | |||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0*-0.1+0.1 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0-0.4+0.0 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 26.2 | % | 4 | 22 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10,525 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 3.7 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 15 | 11 | 54 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 63,001 | |||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 7 | 26 | 32 | 28 | 7 | 257 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 157,280 | |||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 19 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 496 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 37 | 9 | 210,292 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 9 | 44 | 46 | 497 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 50 | 156,840 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 17 | 83 | 242 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 63,100 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 97 | 67 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 98 | 10,675 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 673,328 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +1.6 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +1.3*+0.4-1.3 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.1+0.4-0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 26 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 25 | 11 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 13 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 36 | 11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 29 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 13 | 87 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 16 | ||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
