San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 0.2%
2-8-0 .200
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.0 | -0.1 | ||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.1 | |||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.1 | |||
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.0 | |||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.2*Out+0.2 | -0.8-0.2+0.8 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1*Out-0.1 | |||
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0*Out+0.0 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.0*Out+0.0 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 14.1 | % | 2 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10,564 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 49 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62,785 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 5 | 18 | 36 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 239 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 157,348 | ||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 18 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 507 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 34 | 209,649 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 8 | 40 | 51 | 515 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 157,664 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 15 | 85 | 264 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 63,129 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 96 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 10,563 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 41 | 673,328 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.0 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.0 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.0 | |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | +0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.0 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +1.2*-0.0-1.2 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 14 | 10 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 39 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 7 | 43 | 49 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 8 | 92 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 98 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 23 | |||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
