Oakland Raiders Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Arizona 23-21, playoff odds unchanged at 0.0003%
1-9-0 .100
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.2 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.3*-0.2+0.3 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Oakland finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 7 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10,457 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 18 | 18 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 66 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 63,212 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 10 | 29 | 45 | 15 | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 44 | 29 | 157,361 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 30 | 67 | 508 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 209,474 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 5 | 95 | 518 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 157,694 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | -2.5 | Out | 100 | 73,787 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 65 | 673,328 | ||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.7 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | +0.0 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.0 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.9+0.6-0.8 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 7 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 29 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 39 | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 74 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 75 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | -1.5 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
