How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 -8.5
-1.1
Washington 21 Houston 23 +2.7
+0.1
Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 -1.1
-0.1
Detroit 20 Carolina 19 -0.1
Arizona 21 Oakland 23 +0.1
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 +0.0
Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 +0.0
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
LA Rams vs Kansas City-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+7.6*-2.1-7.6
+1.3*+0.4-1.3
Dallas vs Washington+1.0*-1.1-1.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Green Bay-0.2*+2.5+0.2
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Detroit vs Chicago-0.1*+0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.4+0.0
Carolina vs Seattle+0.0*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
106-0-0In04395710,573
9.55-0-198.2%167552257
95-1-084.3056331211410062,380
8.54-1-151.9136214271470258
84-2-022.20190311232514400157,348
7.53-2-13.2304163330122499
73-3-00.8100172333249100210,042
2-2-2Out1001
6.52-3-1Out021031361650499
62-4-0Out004183430111157,541
1-3-2Out1001
5.51-4-1Out172843202260
51-5-0Out01626442463,339
4.50-5-1Out22492945
40-6-0Out02287010,485
Total:14.9%0011102468111212111074673,328
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 +2.2
Washington 21 Houston 23 -0.2
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 -0.1
Detroit 20 Carolina 19 +0.1
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 +0.1
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 +0.0
Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 +0.0
Arizona 21 Oakland 23 -0.0
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 +0.0
Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
LA Rams vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.4+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-2.4+0.8+2.4
Dallas vs Washington-0.0+0.4+0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.1+0.3-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.0+0.3+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago+0.1-0.3-0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.1-0.2-0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay-0.1*-0.4+0.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.1*-0.6+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Jacksonville+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Miami-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Denver vs Pittsburgh+0.1*-0.5-0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.5+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
106-0-000411284315
9.55-0-121442334222
95-1-0005144903481231000
8.54-1-112332112171710310
84-2-00118003614201912520000
7.53-2-13012715222414831
73-3-001000014917232114721000
2-2-2100
6.52-3-11151626301372
62-4-000014122125201141000
1-3-2100
5.51-4-1051322322052
51-5-000161728261551
4.50-5-123140242
40-6-000313293619
Total:0000129000124554467755665443210