100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.Change
Kansas City9-1-0.9001133231109521081100000003.1-0.37Kansas City Chiefs
LA Rams9-1-0.90010425103491335100000000003.1+0.12Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans9-1-0.90013933202086210721010003.2-1.31New Orleans Saints
Pittsburgh7-2-1.75074491219121111521413210000000005.7-1.60Pittsburgh Steelers
New England7-3-0.7004429616111315821413222110000000006.8New England Patriots
Chicago7-3-0.7009926881613117354311112211000000007.5-2.31Chicago Bears
Houston7-3-0.700341551213111562172442222110000000008.1-2.02Houston Texans
LA Chargers7-3-0.70053151211004311113643221100000000010.1+1.17Los Angeles Chargers
Washington6-4-0.600-10124912131813341123443212221100000010.7+1.65Washington Redskins
Carolina6-4-0.600802132210112099756532222110000000012.2+1.53Carolina Panthers
Minnesota5-4-1.55012001156333106115653466422232110000013.8+2.03Minnesota Vikings
Cincinnati5-5-0.500-56000212113486111095346642232111000015.3+1.89Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore5-5-0.500560001021145878996445643222211000015.6-2.19Baltimore Ravens
Dallas5-5-0.5001300012561402253346653356532322110015.7-2.73Dallas Cowboys
Tennessee5-5-0.500-110002244511427668754455532222110016.5+2.69Tennessee Titans
Seattle5-5-0.50030000000004145114456654555433221110016.5-0.26Seattle Seahawks
Miami5-5-0.500-570001134712544445775335653233210016.9-0.06Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis5-5-0.500490001134511534545776335653333210017.3-2.32Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay4-5-1.4504000121214273543578644665333211018.5-0.07Green Bay Packers
Cleveland4-5-1.450-34000000021648854687534664333211018.6-0.05Cleveland Browns
Philadelphia4-6-0.400-26000012900012455446775566544321019.5+2.23Philadelphia Eagles
Denver4-6-0.400-700000011226566556776566644321020.4-2.33Denver Broncos
Atlanta4-6-0.400-13000000015162345445677556654322120.5+2.37Atlanta Falcons
Detroit4-6-0.400-41000011202132346544677656665432120.9-2.12Detroit Lions
Jacksonville3-7-0.300-430000000001232234554578878875324.2+1.95Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay3-7-0.300-620000001011222234554578878875324.2+2.12Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo3-7-0.300-1140000200001122223455557888987424.8-0.03Buffalo Bills
NY Giants3-7-0.300-4800001000101222223565568991098525.4-1.32New York Giants
NY Jets3-7-0.300-46000010000011222224665589910109625.7-0.02New York Jets
Arizona2-8-0.200-103000000000112222356791215171628.2+1.84Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco2-8-0.200-3600000000001122235781015202328.9+0.16San Francisco 49ers
Oakland1-9-0.100-1340000000001122346913203730.0-0.64Oakland Raiders

Lottery Big Games

Week of 11/15
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston-0.2
Cincinnati-0.1
Tennessee+2.4
Indianapolis-2.5
Oakland-0.0
Atlanta 19 Dallas 22
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington+0.2
Dallas-2.4
Atlanta+2.2
Arizona+0.1
Seattle 27 Green Bay 24
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago-0.2
Dallas-0.1
Seattle-2.2
Green Bay+2.3
Detroit+0.1
Buffalo+0.1
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
LA Rams+0.2
New Orleans-1.0
Washington-0.2
Carolina+0.3
Philadelphia+2.2
Buffalo-0.1
Arizona-0.1
Washington 21 Houston 23
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston-1.8
Washington+1.6
Dallas-0.2
Tennessee+0.4
Indianapolis+0.1
Philadelphia-0.2
Detroit+0.0
Jacksonville-0.1
Tampa Bay+0.1
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh-1.4
Cincinnati+0.2
Philadelphia+0.0
Denver-0.2
Jacksonville+2.0
Detroit 20 Carolina 19
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans-0.3
Chicago-0.1
Carolina+1.5
Baltimore+0.1
Cleveland+0.1
Detroit-2.0
Tampa Bay+0.2
NY Giants+0.2
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City-0.5
LA Chargers+1.2
Carolina-0.0
Dallas+0.1
Denver-1.9
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh-0.2
Houston-0.0
Cincinnati+2.0
Baltimore-2.2
Dallas+0.0
San Francisco+0.0
Chicago 25 Minnesota 20
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago-2.3
Minnesota+2.2
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay+2.0
NY Giants-1.6
Arizona 21 Oakland 23
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Denver-0.2
Arizona+1.6
San Francisco+0.0
Oakland-0.7
LA Rams vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City3.83.22.3
LA Rams2.52.83.7
Week of 11/22
Dallas vs WashingtonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
4:30 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Washington13.59.88.0
Dallas12.516.119.0
Detroit vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
12:30 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago9.17.65.8
Seattle16.617.416.5
Detroit18.6*20.523.1
Denver vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh6.95.94.6
Minnesota13.814.813.7
Denver18.320.822.5
Carolina vs SeattleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina10.312.214.0
Seattle18.9*16.214.1
Minnesota vs Green BayHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota11.513.916.1
Green Bay21.018.416.0
Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Houston6.26.410.0
Tennessee19.116.913.9
Cincinnati vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati13.216.417.3
Indianapolis17.316.417.3
Cleveland20.817.516.3
Indianapolis vs MiamiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Miami19.515.814.4
Indianapolis14.816.219.8
Baltimore vs OaklandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore13.616.917.5
Oakland30.930.629.2
Buffalo vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville26.224.722.2
Buffalo22.8*25.626.9
NY Giants25.524.625.3
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England8.26.65.5
Tampa Bay24.324.824.1
NY Jets23.925.127.4
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia17.220.321.9
NY Giants27.225.623.6
Tampa Bay vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas15.716.715.8
Tampa Bay22.225.126.2
San Francisco30.2*28.927.7
New Orleans vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans2.43.03.9
Atlanta22.7*20.618.4
LA Chargers vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers9.1*9.511.1
Arizona29.5*28.626.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.