Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2018
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 13.1%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.6 | |||
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -5.9*+0.3+18.3 | -0.5*+0.2+1.6 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.6*+2.0+3.9 | -0.0*+0.0+0.2 | ||
| NY Jets vs New England | +2.5*+0.8-1.4 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.3*-0.8+1.4 | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.3*-1.1-0.7 | +0.1*-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.3*+1.3+0.4 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 12 | 42 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13,379 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.4 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 29 | 23 | 2 | 62 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 90.6 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 17 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125,956 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 72.8 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 49 | 23 | 4 | 625 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 37.7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 23 | 35 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 455,549 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7.7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1,660 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 2.9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 799,834 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2,053 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 709,545 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 8 | 35 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 1,210 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 303,123 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 9 | 27 | 48 | 14 | 244 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 48 | 41 | 0 | 48,849 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 13.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2,462,096 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.1 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.0 | |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -0.0 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +1.1-1.4-3.3 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | -0.1-0.3+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*-0.1-0.3 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.0*-0.0+0.2 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.2*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 26 | 3 | 23 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 67 | 33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 29 | 8 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
