Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Tennessee 38-10, playoff odds up 8.2 to 24.7%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +10.5 | +1.3 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -1.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.4 | +0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.1 | |||
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -0.1 | |||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.0 | |||
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | *-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +11.7*-1.1-11.8 | +1.2*+0.1-1.2 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -1.7*-1.4+1.7 | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | -1.4*-3.5+1.4 | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | ||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.7*+3.8+0.7 | -0.0+0.4+0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.6*-0.8+0.6 | |||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 5 | 40 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10,584 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 19 | 57 | 5 | 19 | 37 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 97.2 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 63,081 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 88.7 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 15 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 265 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 52.7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 4 | 24 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 157,242 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 20.7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 517 | |||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 5.4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 210,048 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 505 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157,387 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 5 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 244 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 62,736 | |||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 15 | 21 | 31 | 33 | 48 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 9 | 39 | 44 | 7 | 10,633 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 24.7 | % | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 673,328 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -2.5 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.1 | |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | +0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.1 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -2.5-1.1+2.5 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0-0.9+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.1*+0.4-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1*+0.3-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.0*-0.5-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*-1.5-0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.7-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 3 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 21 | 31 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
