New England Patriots Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 86.9%
7-3-0 .700
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.0 | |||
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NY Jets vs New England | -7.8*+3.8+7.7 | -0.7+0.2+0.7 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +2.0*+2.2-2.0 | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.7*+1.5+0.7 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | -0.6*-0.1+0.6 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.4*-1.4+0.4 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.3*-1.5-0.3 | -0.0*-0.3+0.0 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 89 | 11 | 10,394 | |||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 68 | 32 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 58 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 63,392 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 23 | 59 | 16 | 2 | 237 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 16 | 54 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 158,029 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 35 | 47 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 500 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.6 | % | 1 | 16 | 47 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 209,420 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 97.5 | 3 | 29 | 57 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 484 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 82.6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157,262 | ||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 64.2 | 2 | 55 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 246 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 21.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 62,869 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 19.1 | 19 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 47 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 10,397 | |||||||||
| Total: | 86.9 | % | 11 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.0 | |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1+0.4+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NY Jets vs New England | +1.3-0.3-1.3 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.0+0.5+0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.3*-0.3+0.3 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1*+0.6-0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 42 | 46 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 38 | 30 | 28 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 9 | 49 | 24 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 22 | 28 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 28 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
