Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Chicago 20-25, playoff odds down 10.6 to 48.1%
5-4-1 .550
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -14.7 | -1.1 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.9 | |||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.7 | |||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.7 | +0.1 | ||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +18.1*-4.3-18.2 | +1.2-0.1-1.2 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +1.2*-1.2-1.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.7*-3.0+0.7 | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | ||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.6*+2.3+0.6 | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.3*+0.9-0.3 | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | ||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.3*+1.5+0.3 | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 10 | 42 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 10,682 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 4 | 18 | 65 | 5 | 7 | 55 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 11 | 57 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 62,941 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.6 | 2 | 35 | 22 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 250 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 96.8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | 36 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 157,466 | |||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 72.9 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 532 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 45.6 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209,733 | |||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 11.5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 506 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157,253 | |||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 273 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 63,033 | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 14 | 26 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 50 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 10,554 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 48.1 | % | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +2.2 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.1 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.0 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.0 | |
| NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 | -0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -2.3+0.1+2.3 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.1+1.0-0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.2-0.4+0.2 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.0*-0.5-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0*+0.4+0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.0*+0.5-0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*-0.4-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 14 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 5 | 5 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 18 | 6 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 19 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 18 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
