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Washington Redskins Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Houston 21-23, playoff odds down 6.9 to 70.6%
6-4-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -8.5 | -0.6 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +2.1 | +0.1 | ||
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | -0.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.7 | +0.0 | ||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dallas vs Washington | -17.6+7.9+17.5 | -1.2+0.3+1.2 | ||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -2.2*-1.6+2.2 | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.8*+0.6-0.8 | |||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.3*+2.6+0.3 | |||
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.3*-2.2-0.3 | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.2*-2.7+0.2 | |||
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | -0.0*+0.2+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 24 | 53 | 23 | 0 | 10,691 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 7 | 45 | 46 | 2 | 56 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 6 | 34 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 63,012 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 10 | 65 | 25 | 1 | 231 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157,506 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.4 | 0 | 26 | 65 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 516 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 92.1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 56 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 210,549 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 71.3 | 1 | 49 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 527 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 31.2 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156,835 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 8.8 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 239 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62,546 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 14 | 22 | 43 | 18 | 49 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 10,570 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 70.6 | % | 1 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +1.6 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.2 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | +0.2 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1*+0.5-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Dallas vs Washington | +2.8-0.9-2.8 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.1+0.5+0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.2*+0.3-0.2 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0*+0.4+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 43 | 4 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 43 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 45 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 36 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 45 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 14 | 16 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
