Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Minnesota 25-20, playoff odds up 14.5 to 87.3%
7-3-0 .700
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | +13.2 | +1.1 | ||
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | +1.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.8 | +0.0 | ||
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.5 | |||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -8.6*+2.5+8.6 | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | ||
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.6*+0.0-0.6 | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | ||
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.4*+3.9+0.4 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.3*-1.8+0.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.3*-1.9+0.3 | |||
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | -0.2*-2.4+0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 87 | 13 | 0 | 10,334 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 71 | 24 | 6 | 51 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 47 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 62,693 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 12 | 51 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 273 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 11 | 39 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 157,735 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 16 | 69 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 504 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 8 | 50 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 210,348 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.2 | 1 | 32 | 31 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 504 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 87.1 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157,365 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 50.0 | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 52.7 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 30 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 281 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 13.2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62,635 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 20 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 41 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 10,560 | |||||||||
| Total: | 87.3 | % | 8 | 16 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 | -2.3 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.2 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1*+0.3-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +1.6+0.1-1.6 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.1-0.5+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1*+0.4-0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 57 | 29 | 13 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 51 | 20 | 22 | 2 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 13 | 34 | 36 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 16 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 37 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 10 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
