SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Kansas City9-1-0.90011399.6%+0.06219629100001.8+0.221Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh7-2-1.7507492.3+9.21431231735321100003.1+0.795Pittsburgh Steelers
New England7-3-0.7004486.9+0.411222423254321100003.7-0.024New England Patriots
Houston7-3-0.7003480.2+11.46172521487532110004.3+0.848Houston Texans
LA Chargers7-3-0.7005379.1-7.8631054158532110005.5-0.6410Los Angeles Chargers
Baltimore5-5-0.5005630.4+11.701221015161311108542108.1+1.076Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati5-5-0.500-5629.0-14.9023381411121199754218.5-1.257Cincinnati Bengals
Miami5-5-0.500-5728.4+0.80141138111212109754208.3-0.0520Miami Dolphins
Indianapolis5-5-0.5004924.7+8.20149281112121110864208.6+1.0724Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee5-5-0.500-1123.9-18.5026916810121210975318.9-1.5812Tennessee Titans
Cleveland4-5-1.450-3414.2+0.3001139101011121111107319.9-0.1214Cleveland Browns
Denver4-6-0.400-75.8+2.5000024568101213141310411.5+0.9116Denver Broncos
Buffalo3-7-0.300-1142.3+0.00020013469121518191012.8-0.1421Buffalo Bills
NY Jets3-7-0.300-461.7-0.0001012346911141824812.9-0.1230New York Jets
Jacksonville3-7-0.300-431.5-3.20000124579121518171012.7-1.1727Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland1-9-0.100-1340.0000011248186515.3+0.1931Oakland Raiders

Will update with what if scenarios for the Browns, based on reddit.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/15
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+1.0
+0.1
Baltimore+12.2
+1.2
Cincinnati-15.2
-1.1
Miami-0.0
Tennessee+0.5
Cleveland+0.7
Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh*+0.3
+0.0
New England+0.4
+0.1
Houston+1.2
+0.1
Baltimore-0.0
Cincinnati+1.1
Indianapolis+10.5
+1.3
Tennessee-15.1
-1.3
Cleveland+0.3
Denver+0.2
Jacksonville+0.4
Washington 21 Houston 23
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh-0.6
-0.1
New England-0.3
-0.1
Houston+9.8
+0.7
LA Chargers-0.0
Baltimore-0.5
-0.0
Cincinnati-0.5
Indianapolis-1.8
-0.1
Tennessee-4.2
-0.3
Cleveland-0.7
-0.0
Denver-0.2
Jacksonville-0.5
-0.0
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh+8.6
+0.7
New England-0.3
-0.1
Houston-0.4
LA Chargers-0.3
Baltimore-0.8
Cincinnati-1.2
-0.1
Miami-0.8
Indianapolis-0.4
Tennessee-0.5
+0.0
Cleveland-0.5
Denver+0.1
Buffalo+0.1
NY Jets+0.1
Jacksonville-3.2
-0.9
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City+0.3
Houston+0.9
LA Chargers-7.5
-0.6
Baltimore+0.8
Cincinnati+0.6
Miami+0.7
Indianapolis-0.1
Cleveland+0.3
-0.1
Denver+2.7
+0.9
Buffalo-0.1
NY Jets-0.1
Jacksonville+0.2
-0.1
Arizona 21 Oakland 23
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland+0.2
LA Rams vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City99.2*In100.0
2.11.91.5
New England3.73.93.8
LA Chargers5.35.35.6
Week of 11/22
Houston vs TennesseeIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston92.787.667.6
3.33.55.3
Indianapolis23.3*21.226.2
8.7*8.98.6
Tennessee9.4*19.538.4
10.3*8.97.5
Indianapolis vs MiamiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England88.8*89.184.9
3.6*3.63.9
Houston78.9*78.281.4
4.4*4.34.2
Miami15.7*29.341.1
9.6*8.27.1
Indianapolis36.5*23.713.0
7.4*8.69.9
Denver11.511.211.5
Cincinnati vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh91.5*92.393.2
3.2*3.33.1
LA Chargers78.4*82.279.9
5.5*5.35.4
Baltimore29.1*25.931.7
8.1*8.38.0
Cincinnati42.920.515.1
7.3*8.89.7
Miami27.9*30.528.8
8.38.68.3
Indianapolis24.1*28.625.4
8.68.28.6
Cleveland5.4*13.123.1
11.09.78.7
Baltimore vs OaklandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh91.2*95.193.5
3.2*3.13.1
Houston79.1*82.781.2
4.4*4.14.3
LA Chargers77.5*79.980.8
5.5*5.55.4
Baltimore43.518.017.3
7.18.99.0
Cincinnati27.2*33.230.8
8.6*8.48.5
Miami26.7*26.130.0
8.5*8.38.2
Indianapolis23.1*23.326.4
8.78.88.5
Tennessee22.7*25.425.0
9.0*8.68.8
Cleveland13.1*15.915.4
9.99.79.8
Denver5.1*6.46.4
11.511.311.4
Oakland15.7*15.515.0
LA Chargers vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City1.9*1.91.7
LA Chargers87.3*82.771.0
5.0*5.16.0
Baltimore28.8*25.931.9
8.1*8.28.0
Cincinnati27.8*29.430.3
8.6*8.58.5
Miami27.6*27.829.1
8.4*8.38.3
Cleveland13.3*19.615.2
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England79.1*90.794.6
4.43.53.0
Cincinnati8.68.38.5
Miami31.9*24.024.9
8.2*8.98.5
Buffalo3.2*0.81.4
12.8*12.812.7
NY Jets3.4*1.60.1
12.0*13.013.8
Denver vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City1.81.61.9
Pittsburgh87.1*93.097.6
3.73.32.6
LA Chargers78.4*80.479.9
5.5*5.55.4
Denver10.0*7.41.5
10.410.812.5
Buffalo vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo4.0*1.10.7
11.8*13.213.8
Jacksonville0.2*0.42.7
13.712.811.7
Oakland15.315.615.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)