Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat LA Chargers 23-22, playoff odds up 2.5 to 5.8%
4-6-0 .400
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +2.7 | +0.9 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.2 | |||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |||
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +4.2*+1.6-4.2 | +1.0+0.7-1.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.7*-2.3+0.7 | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.6*+0.6+0.6 | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.5*-0.9-0.5 | +0.1*+0.3-0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |||
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 10 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10,467 | |||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 72.1 | 30 | 42 | 26 | 2 | 43 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 42.2 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 63,902 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 29 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 253 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 157,355 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 447 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 209,545 | |||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 17 | 33 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 516 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 42 | 20 | 2 | 157,245 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 27 | 44 | 25 | 2 | 229 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 28 | 62,744 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 41 | 56 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | 10,524 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 673,328 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -1.9 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.2 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.2 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 | -0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.1 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.0 | |
| Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 | *+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -2.1+0.4+2.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.2*-0.3+0.2 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |
| Tampa Bay vs San Francisco | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*-0.4+0.1 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1*+0.6+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.1*-0.9-0.1 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*+0.6-0.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.0*-0.6+0.0 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0*+0.6-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 10 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 28 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 12 | 19 | 37 | 5 | 23 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 9 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
