Los Angeles Chargers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Denver 22-23, playoff odds down 7.8 to 79.1%
7-3-0 .700
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -7.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.0 | |||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +8.2*+3.6-8.2 | +0.5*+0.4-0.5 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -1.6*+0.7+1.6 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -0.7*+3.1+0.7 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.7*+1.3+0.7 | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.3*+2.4-0.3 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.3*-3.6-0.3 | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 80 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 10,520 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 86 | 14 | 42 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 62,903 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 25 | 13 | 0 | 62 | 277 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 157,696 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 89 | 1 | 512 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 78 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 209,777 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 93.7 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 508 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 58.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 38 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 157,139 | ||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 29.6 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 247 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 2.6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 63,101 | |||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 49 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 10,555 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 79.1 | % | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +1.2 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.2-0.4+0.2 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -1.0*-0.6+1.0 | |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | +0.0*+0.4-0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| Buffalo vs Jacksonville | -0.0*-0.2+0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 13 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 34 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 24 | 62 | 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 61 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 57 | 21 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 32 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 10 | 20 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
