How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 -3.3
-1.1
Detroit 20 Carolina 19 +0.4
-0.1
Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 +0.2
Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 +0.2
-0.0
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 +0.1
Arizona 21 Oakland 23 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco+1.8*-1.8-1.8
+1.1*+0.1-1.1
New Orleans vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.7-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay-0.1*+0.2+0.1
+0.0+0.3-0.0
Detroit vs Chicago-0.1-0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
96-0-079.0%0013444183010,419
8.55-0-144.41133332245
85-1-010.619243422710062,818
7.54-1-1Out5173924132260
74-2-00.001414283117500156,759
6.53-2-1Out011023352540518
63-3-0Out001823342581210,152
5.52-3-1Out052241284480
52-4-0Out017274322158,119
1-3-2Out1001
4.51-4-1Out2154141256
41-5-0Out003237463,076
3.50-5-1Out178348
30-6-0Out029810,377
Total:2.2%000123458101113151514673,328
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 38 Tampa Bay 35 +2.0
Detroit 20 Carolina 19 +0.2
New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 -0.1
Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 -0.1
LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 +0.1
Chicago 25 Minnesota 20 -0.1
Atlanta 19 Dallas 22 +0.1
Washington 21 Houston 23 +0.1
Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 +0.1
Arizona 21 Oakland 23 -0.0
Seattle 27 Green Bay 24 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/22100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs San Francisco-2.0+0.9+2.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.1+0.6-0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay-0.0-0.5+0.0
Denver vs Pittsburgh+0.2-0.2-0.2
Carolina vs Seattle-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Detroit vs Chicago+0.2-0.0-0.2
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.2-0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta-0.1*+0.5+0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.1*+0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs Arizona-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
96-0-000001133113315510
8.55-0-1112311124137
85-1-0109718242112520000
7.54-1-1241627251582
74-2-000014101823201362100
6.53-2-1015112328191020
63-3-000014112126211141000
5.52-3-11312243220620
52-4-000151628271651
1-3-2100
4.51-4-111516372812
41-5-000211293820
3.50-5-123860
30-6-0042966
Total:00000010112222345545788788753