Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Baltimore 21-24, playoff odds down 14.9 to 29%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | -15.2 | -1.1 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -1.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | +1.1 | +0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.5 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | +13.9-8.6-13.9 | +1.2*-0.2-1.2 | ||
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -1.8*+4.2+1.8 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -1.3*+0.4+1.3 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.7*-4.2-0.7 | +0.1*-0.3-0.1 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.4*+2.0-0.4 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | |||
| Indianapolis vs Miami | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 10 | 51 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 10,476 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 4 | 27 | 44 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 52 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.3 | % | 0 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 40 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 62,717 | ||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 92.0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 249 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 70.0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157,376 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 18.5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 507 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 210,300 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 486 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 157,248 | ||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 9 | 273 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 62,883 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 32 | 42 | 21 | 2 | 57 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 46 | 27 | 10,704 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 29.0 | % | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 673,328 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Baltimore 24 Cincinnati 21 | +2.0 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.2 | |
| Indianapolis 38 Tennessee 10 | -0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | -0.1 | |
| Arizona 21 Oakland 23 | -0.1 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.0 | |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.0 | |
| Detroit 20 Carolina 19 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.0*+0.4-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Cincinnati vs Cleveland | -2.0+1.1+2.0 | |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1-0.5+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Green Bay | -0.0-0.4+0.0 | |
| Carolina vs Seattle | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs NY Giants | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.1*+0.5+0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Miami | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.0*-0.3-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 11 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 45 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 35 | 18 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
