Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.003 to 99.6%
9-1-0 .900
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | +0.1 | +0.3 | ||
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | -0.0 | |||
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.4*In+0.4 | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | -0.1*In+0.1 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | ||
| NY Jets vs New England | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Houston vs Tennessee | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 13.5 | -15 | In | 100 | 73,762 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 157,300 | ||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 4 | 1 | 503 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 73 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 209,970 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 59 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 556 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 26 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 157,252 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 10 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 304 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.5 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 11 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 63,146 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 95.2 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 26 | 5 | 42 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 76.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10,491 | |||||||||
| Total: | 99.6 | % | 62 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | |||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers 22 Denver 23 | -0.5 | |
| Jacksonville 16 Pittsburgh 20 | +0.1 | |
| New Orleans 48 Philadelphia 7 | +0.0 | |
| Washington 21 Houston 23 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.7+0.2-0.7 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Denver vs Pittsburgh | -0.1-0.4+0.1 | |
| LA Chargers vs Arizona | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | |
| Dallas vs Washington | -0.0+0.3+0.0 | |
| NY Jets vs New England | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |
| Detroit vs Chicago | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Houston vs Tennessee | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |
| New Orleans vs Atlanta | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Baltimore vs Oakland | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 15 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 91 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 87 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 44 | 51 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 20 | 52 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 6 | 54 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 10 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 36 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 32 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:00 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
