Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 56.6%

4 points 1 0-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6							*+0.0
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5							+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens vs ELe	+6.2+5.9+5.5-1.4-1.5-7.0		+1.2+1.0+1.0-0.4-0.3-1.3		-2.9-3.0-2.7+0.4+0.3+3.3		+0.7+0.6+0.6-0.1-0.1-0.7
Knights vs Tankers	+0.5-0.4-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

63	-78						In		99.6	%	100															No		757	*
62		28	7		-	2	In		98.3		100	0														No		591	*
61		28	8		-	1	In		97.3		99	1														No		1,034	*
60		27	8		-	2	In		94.9		98	2														No		1,783	*
59		26	8		-	3	In		91.0		97	3														No		2,881	*
58		26	9		-	2	In		85.4		96	4	0													No		4,501	*
57		25	9		-	3	In		77.3		92	8	0													No		6,796	*
56		25	10		-	2	In		66.5		86	13	1													No		10,194	*
55		24	10		-	3	In		51.1		79	20	1	0												No		14,467	*
54		24	11		-	2	In		36.9		68	28	3	0												No		20,000	*
53		23	11		-	3	In		21.6		55	36	8	1	0											No		26,518	*
52		23	12		-	2	In		10.0		40	43	15	2	0											No		34,447	*
51		22	12		-	3	In		3.4		25	43	25	6	1	0										No		43,743	*
50		22	13		-	2	In		0.8		13	36	34	14	3	0	0									No		53,148	*
49		21	13		-	3	In		0.1		5	24	36	25	9	2	0	0								No		62,336	*
48		21	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	12	30	33	18	5	1	0								No		35,048
		20	13		-	4	100.0	%	0.0		2	11	28	32	20	6	1	0	0							No		36,088	*
47		20	14		-	3	99.9		No		0	3	14	29	31	17	5	1	0	0						No		50,232	*
		21	15		-	1	100.0		No		0	5	19	33	27	12	3	0	0							No		29,399	*
46		20	15		-	2	99.6		No		0	1	6	19	31	27	13	3	0	0						No		42,370
		19	14		-	4	99.3		No		0	1	5	17	29	27	15	4	1	0						No		43,630	*
45		19	15		-	3	95.7		No			0	1	5	18	30	28	14	4	1	0					No		41,825
		20	16		-	1	96.4		No			0	1	7	20	30	25	12	3	0	0	0				No		48,464	*
44		19	16		-	2	86.7		No			0	0	2	8	21	31	24	10	3	0	0				No		55,489	*
		18	15		-	4	77.9		No				0	1	4	16	28	29	16	5	1	0	0			No		37,093	*
43		18	16		-	3	54.4		No					0	1	6	18	30	28	14	4	0	0	0		No		42,277
		19	17		-	1	59.1		No				0	0	1	7	20	30	25	12	3	0	0			No		48,646	*
42		18	17		-	2	32.1		No					0	0	2	8	22	31	25	10	2	0	0		No		52,553	*
		17	16		-	4	21.0		No						0	1	5	16	29	29	16	5	1	0		No		35,243	*
41		17	17		-	3	8.4		No						0	0	1	7	20	30	26	12	3	0	0	0.0	%	82,530	*
40		17	18		-	2	2.4		No							0	0	2	10	24	32	23	8	1	0	0.1		45,033	*
		16	17		-	4	0.9		No								0	1	6	18	31	28	13	3	0	0.2		30,433	*
39		16	18		-	3	0.2		No								0	0	2	8	24	34	24	8	1	1.9		30,547
		17	19		-	1	0.3		No								0	0	2	11	25	33	21	7	1	1.5		35,616	*
38		16	19		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	0	3	13	29	33	17	3	10.6		56,438	*
37		15	19		-	3	Out		No										0	1	5	19	36	30	9	31.8		47,380	*
36		15	20		-	2	Out		No											0	2	10	29	41	18	59.8		38,696	*
35		14	20		-	3	Out		No											0	0	4	20	44	32	81.9		30,573	*
34		14	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	1	12	40	47	93.6		23,301	*
33		13	21		-	3	Out		No												0	0	6	33	60	98.2		17,085	*
32		13	22		-	2	Out		No													0	2	25	73	99.6		12,436	*
31		12	22		-	3	Out		No													0	1	17	82	99.9		8,799	*
30		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	0	11	88	100.0		6,039	*
29		11	23		-	3	Out		No														0	7	93	Yes		3,887	*
28		11	24		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		2,561	*
27		10	24		-	3	Out		No															3	97	Yes		1,591	*
26		10	25		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		928	*
25		9	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		516	*
24		9	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		323	*
4	-23						Out		No																100	Yes		455	*

Total:							56.6	%	3.6	%	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	10.8	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Juice 3 Steam 0	*+0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs ELe	-1.3-1.3-1.2+0.3+0.3+1.5
Knights vs Tankers	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

67	-78						100
66		30	5		-	2	98	2
65		30	6		-	1	100
64		29	6		-	2	99	1
63		29	7		-	1	100	0
62		28	7		-	2	98	2
61		28	8		-	1	97	3
60		27	8		-	2	95	5	0
59		26	8		-	3	91	9	0
58		26	9		-	2	85	14	1
57		25	9		-	3	77	21	2	0
56		25	10		-	2	66	28	5	1	0
55		24	10		-	3	51	37	10	1	0	0
54		24	11		-	2	37	40	18	4	1	0	0
53		23	11		-	3	22	38	27	10	2	0	0	0
52		23	12		-	2	10	29	32	20	7	2	0	0
51		22	12		-	3	3	16	28	28	17	6	2	0	0
50		22	13		-	2	1	6	17	26	25	16	7	2	0	0
49		21	13		-	3	0	1	6	15	24	25	17	8	3	1	0	0
48		21	14		-	2	0	0	1	4	12	21	24	20	11	5	1	0	0		0
47		20	14		-	3		0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
46		20	15		-	2			0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
45		19	15		-	3						0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
		20	16		-	1					0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
44		19	16		-	2							0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
43		18	16		-	3								0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
42		18	17		-	2											0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
41		17	17		-	3														0	0	2	5	12	20	24	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		18	18		-	1													0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
40		17	18		-	2															0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	15	7	2	0	0	0
		16	17		-	4															0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0
39		16	18		-	3															0	0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	6	1	0	0
38		16	19		-	2																	0	0	0	1	2	7	15	23	24	17	8	2	0	0
37		15	19		-	3																			0	0	0	1	5	13	22	27	20	9	2	0
36		15	20		-	2																					0	0	1	4	12	23	28	21	9	1
35		14	20		-	3																						0	0	1	4	13	26	31	20	5
34		14	21		-	2																							0	0	1	5	17	31	32	13
33		13	21		-	3																								0	0	2	8	24	40	26
32		13	22		-	2																									0	0	3	16	40	40
31		12	22		-	3																										0	1	9	35	55
30		12	23		-	2																									0	0	0	4	28	68
29		11	23		-	3																											0	2	19	79
28		11	24		-	2																												1	14	85
27		10	24		-	3																												0	8	91
26		10	25		-	2																													7	93
25		9	25		-	3																													3	97
24		9	26		-	2																													3	97
23		9	27		-	1																														100
22		8	27		-	2																													1	99
4	-21																																			100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2