Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Blackburn Buffalo Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Beat Mafiosos 6-5, playoff odds up 6.2 to 51.6%

4 points 2 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	+6.3		+0.7		-4.0		+0.6
Raju 7 Rats 1							*+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	+0.6+0.3+0.1*-0.7-0.6-0.5						+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Grinders vs Raju	-0.0-0.6-0.2*-0.5-0.9+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

64	-76						In		Yes		100															No		202	*
63		29	6		-	1	In		99.2	%	99	1														No		118	*
62		28	6		-	2	In		99.6		100															No		248	*
61		28	7		-	1	In		98.6		100	0														No		515	*
60		27	7		-	2	In		96.5		99	1														No		818	*
59		27	8		-	1	In		92.9		98	2														No		1,481	*
58		26	8		-	2	In		89.0		96	4														No		2,514	*
57		25	8		-	3	In		80.7		93	7	0													No		4,088	*
56		25	9		-	2	In		70.6		89	11	0	0												No		6,325	*
55		24	9		-	3	In		58.3		81	18	1	0												No		9,479	*
54		24	10		-	2	In		42.1		72	25	3	0												No		13,593	*
53		23	10		-	3	In		26.5		60	34	6	0	0											No		18,817	*
52		23	11		-	2	In		13.7		45	41	12	2	0											No		25,807	*
51		22	11		-	3	In		5.2		30	43	21	5	1	0										No		33,603	*
50		22	12		-	2	In		1.5		17	39	31	11	2	0	0									No		42,707	*
49		21	12		-	3	In		0.3		8	28	36	21	6	1	0	0								No		51,754	*
48		21	13		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		3	15	32	31	15	4	1	0	0							No		62,314	*
47		20	13		-	3	100.0		No		0	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0	0						No		32,638
		21	14		-	1	100.0		No		1	6	21	32	25	11	3	0	0							No		38,363	*
46		20	14		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0	0					No		79,899	*
45		19	14		-	3	97.5		No		0	0	2	10	23	30	23	9	2	0	0					No		86,006	*
44		19	15		-	2	92.2		No			0	0	3	12	26	31	19	6	1	0	0				No		56,930	*
		18	14		-	4	82.1		No				0	1	6	18	31	27	14	4	0	0				No		34,520	*
43		18	15		-	3	64.6		No				0	0	2	9	23	31	24	9	2	0	0			No		42,848
		19	16		-	1	67.6		No				0	0	3	11	24	29	21	9	2	0	0	0		No		50,497	*
42		18	16		-	2	36.0		No					0	0	3	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0	0	No		92,974	*
41		17	16		-	3	13.3		No					0	0	0	3	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0	No		88,827	*
40		17	17		-	2	3.6		No							0	0	3	13	27	31	19	5	1	0	0.0	%	41,708
		16	16		-	4	2.7		No							0	0	2	10	23	31	23	9	2	0	0.1		42,136	*
39		16	17		-	3	0.3		No							0	0	0	3	12	28	32	19	5	0	0.9		35,033
		17	18		-	1	0.7		No								0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	0	0.9		40,648	*
38		16	18		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	5	19	33	29	12	2	4.5		33,403
		15	17		-	4	0.0		No									0	1	4	15	30	32	15	3	8.6		33,630	*
37		15	18		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	23.7		57,471	*
36		15	19		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	0	2	13	33	37	15	50.6		48,439	*
35		14	19		-	3	Out		No											0	1	6	23	43	27	75.8		38,929	*
34		14	20		-	2	Out		No												0	2	14	42	42	90.2		30,889	*
33		13	20		-	3	Out		No												0	1	8	37	55	97.0		23,155	*
32		13	21		-	2	Out		No													0	4	29	67	99.2		17,162	*
31		12	21		-	3	Out		No													0	2	20	78	99.9		12,429	*
30		12	22		-	2	Out		No													0	1	14	86	100.0		8,661	*
29		11	22		-	3	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		5,710	*
28		11	23		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	Yes		3,666	*
27		10	23		-	3	Out		No															3	97	Yes		2,388	*
26		10	24		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		1,399	*
25		9	24		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		827	*
24		9	25		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		480	*
23		8	25		-	3	Out		No																100	Yes		274	*
22		8	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		150	*
4	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		248	*

Total:							51.6	%	2.6	%	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	13.0	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	-1.3
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6	*-0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Grinders vs Raju	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-76						100
63		29	6		-	1	99	1
62		28	6		-	2	100	0
61		28	7		-	1	99	1
60		27	7		-	2	96	4
59		27	8		-	1	93	7	0
58		26	8		-	2	89	10	1
57		25	8		-	3	81	18	1	0
56		25	9		-	2	71	25	4	0	0
55		24	9		-	3	58	33	8	1	0
54		24	10		-	2	42	39	15	3	0	0
53		23	10		-	3	26	39	25	8	1	0	0
52		23	11		-	2	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0
51		22	11		-	3	5	20	30	26	13	5	1	0	0
50		22	12		-	2	2	9	21	28	23	12	4	1	0	0	0
49		21	12		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	23	13	6	2	0	0	0
48		21	13		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	24	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
47		20	13		-	3		0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		20	14		-	2			0	0	1	3	7	15	21	22	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
45		19	14		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	9	16	21	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		19	15		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		18	14		-	4								0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
43		18	15		-	3									0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
		19	16		-	1								0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
42		18	16		-	2										0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	18	11	4	1	0	0
		17	15		-	4											0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
41		17	16		-	3											0	0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
40		17	17		-	2													0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
39		16	17		-	3															0	0	0	0	2	6	14	21	24	19	10	3	1	0	0
		17	18		-	1																0	0	1	3	8	16	21	21	16	8	3	1	0	0
38		16	18		-	2																	0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
37		15	18		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	16	6	1	0
36		15	19		-	2																				0	0	0	2	7	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		14	19		-	3																						0	0	2	6	16	28	29	16	4
34		14	20		-	2																							0	0	2	8	20	32	28	10
33		13	20		-	3																								0	0	3	11	28	38	20
32		13	21		-	2																								0	0	1	5	19	41	34
31		12	21		-	3																										0	2	11	37	50
30		12	22		-	2																										0	1	6	30	63
29		11	22		-	3																											0	2	22	75
28		11	23		-	2																											0	1	15	83
27		10	23		-	3																												1	10	89
26		10	24		-	2																												0	6	94
25		9	24		-	3																												0	4	96
24		9	25		-	2																													3	97
23		8	25		-	3																													3	97
22		8	26		-	2																													1	99
21		8	27		-	1																														100
20		7	27		-	2																													2	98
4	-19																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	3	3	3	3	3	3