Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 59.8%

4 points 1 0-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*+0.1				*+0.1		+0.0
Raju 7 Rats 1	*+0.1						+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens vs ELe	+5.8+5.3+5.6-1.5-1.6-7.2		+1.0+1.0+1.0-0.4-0.4-1.2		-2.4-2.3-2.3+0.3+0.5+3.0		+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.8
Knights vs Tankers	+0.6+0.0-0.0-0.6-0.3-0.4				+0.0+0.2+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0
Grinders vs Raju	+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

65	-78						In		Yes		100															No		819	*
64		29	6		-	2	In		98.8	%	100	0														No		603	*
63		29	7		-	1	In		98.4		100	0														No		1,079	*
62		28	7		-	2	In		97.4		100	0														No		2,013	*
61		28	8		-	1	In		95.1		99	1														No		3,501	*
60		27	8		-	2	In		91.7		98	2														No		5,866	*
59		26	8		-	3	In		86.4		97	3	0													No		9,552	*
58		26	9		-	2	In		78.9		94	6	0													No		15,069	*
57		25	9		-	3	In		68.1		90	9	0													No		22,781	*
56		25	10		-	2	In		55.6		85	15	1	0												No		33,263	*
55		24	10		-	3	In		41.5		77	21	2	0	0											No		46,233	*
54		24	11		-	2	In		26.4		66	30	4	0	0											No		63,509	*
53		23	11		-	3	In		14.1		52	38	9	1	0	0										No		83,690	*
52		23	12		-	2	In		6.0		38	43	16	3	0	0										No		106,490	*
51		22	12		-	3	In		1.8		23	43	26	7	1	0	0									No		131,155	*
50		22	13		-	2	In		0.3		12	35	34	15	3	0	0									No		158,571	*
49		21	13		-	3	In		0.0		5	22	36	26	9	2	0	0								No		184,258	*
48		21	14		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		1	11	28	33	20	6	1	0	0							No		209,623	*
47		20	14		-	3	99.9		No		0	3	15	30	30	16	5	1	0	0						No		227,919	*
46		20	15		-	2	99.6		No		0	1	5	18	31	27	13	3	0	0		0				No		121,518
		19	14		-	4	99.2		No		0	1	5	17	29	28	15	4	1	0	0					No		123,998	*
45		19	15		-	3	96.0		No		0	0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	0	0				No		251,799	*
44		19	16		-	2	85.4		No			0	0	1	7	20	31	25	12	3	0	0				No		125,437
		18	15		-	4	81.6		No			0	0	1	6	18	29	27	14	4	1	0	0			No		129,273	*
43		18	16		-	3	57.9		No				0	0	1	7	20	30	26	12	3	0	0	0		No		248,267	*
42		18	17		-	2	30.2		No					0	0	1	8	21	31	25	11	2	0	0		No		116,669
		17	16		-	4	27.0		No				0	0	0	1	7	19	29	26	13	4	0	0		No		120,657	*
41		17	17		-	3	7.8		No						0	0	1	7	19	31	27	12	3	0	0	No		100,542
		18	18		-	1	10.6		No						0	0	2	9	22	31	24	10	2	0	0	No		117,437	*
40		17	18		-	2	2.0		No							0	0	2	9	22	32	24	9	2	0	0.0	%	197,443	*
39		16	18		-	3	0.3		No								0	0	2	11	26	33	21	6	1	0.9		170,844	*
38		16	19		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	0	4	14	31	32	16	3	6.4		145,214	*
37		15	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	1	6	21	36	28	8	22.4		119,269	*
36		15	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	2	11	31	39	17	47.8		95,882	*
35		14	20		-	3	Out		No											0	0	5	22	44	29	72.6		74,062	*
34		14	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	2	13	42	44	88.7		56,762	*
33		13	21		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	7	35	58	96.1		41,174	*
32		13	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	3	27	69	98.9		29,613	*
31		12	22		-	3	Out		No													0	1	18	80	99.7		20,358	*
30		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	0	12	87	99.9		13,658	*
29		11	23		-	3	Out		No													0	0	8	92	Yes		8,895	*
28		11	24		-	2	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		5,623	*
27		10	24		-	3	Out		No															4	96	Yes		3,395	*
26		10	25		-	2	Out		No														0	1	99	Yes		1,977	*
25		9	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,221	*
24		9	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		675	*
23		8	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		308	*
22		8	27		-	2	Out		No																100	Yes		174	*
21		7	27		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		87	*
4	-20						Out		No																100	Yes		375	*

Total:							59.8	%	3.3	%	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	8.4	%	3,748,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens vs ELe	-1.2-1.2-1.2+0.3+0.3+1.5
Knights vs Tankers	-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-78						100
64		29	6		-	2	99	1
63		29	7		-	1	98	2
62		28	7		-	2	97	3
61		28	8		-	1	95	5	0
60		27	8		-	2	92	8	0
59		26	8		-	3	86	13	1	0
58		26	9		-	2	79	19	2	0
57		25	9		-	3	68	27	4	0
56		25	10		-	2	56	35	9	1	0	0
55		24	10		-	3	41	40	15	3	0	0
54		24	11		-	2	26	40	24	8	1	0	0
53		23	11		-	3	14	33	31	15	5	1	0	0
52		23	12		-	2	6	22	32	25	11	3	1	0	0
51		22	12		-	3	2	10	24	29	21	10	3	1	0	0
50		22	13		-	2	0	3	12	23	27	20	10	4	1	0	0	0
49		21	13		-	3	0	1	3	11	20	25	21	12	5	1	0	0	0
48		21	14		-	2	0	0	1	3	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	1	0	0	0
47		20	14		-	3		0	0	0	1	4	11	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
		21	15		-	1		0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
46		20	15		-	2			0	0	0	1	3	8	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0	0	0
		19	14		-	4			0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
45		19	15		-	3						0	0	1	3	8	16	23	22	15	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
		20	16		-	1					0	0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
44		19	16		-	2						0	0	0	0	1	5	11	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0	0
43		18	16		-	3									0	0	0	2	6	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
42		18	17		-	2											0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
		17	16		-	4										0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	1	0	0	0
41		17	17		-	3												0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
40		17	18		-	2													0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
39		16	18		-	3																0	0	0	2	6	14	21	24	18	10	4	1	0	0
38		16	19		-	2																	0	0	0	1	4	10	19	25	22	13	5	1	0	0
37		15	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	3	8	17	25	24	15	6	1	0
36		15	20		-	2																				0	0	0	2	7	17	26	26	16	5	1
35		14	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	7	18	29	27	14	3
34		14	21		-	2																							0	0	2	9	22	33	26	8
33		13	21		-	3																							0	0	1	3	13	30	36	17
32		13	22		-	2																								0	0	1	6	22	41	29
31		12	22		-	3																									0	0	2	13	40	44
30		12	23		-	2																										0	1	7	34	57
29		11	23		-	3																											0	3	27	70
28		11	24		-	2																												2	20	79
27		10	24		-	3																												0	15	85
26		10	25		-	2																												0	8	91
25		9	25		-	3																												0	6	94
24		9	26		-	2																													4	96
23		8	26		-	3																													3	97
22		8	27		-	2																													1	99
21		7	27		-	3																													3	97
4	-20																																			100

Total:							3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2