Masala Ice Bugs Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 71.5%

6 points 3 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	*+0.1
Raju 7 Rats 1			*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.4-0.5-0.5+0.2*+0.1+0.5				-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ice Bugs finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

65	-80						In		99.9	%	100															No		726	*
64		28	7		-	2	In		99.8		100	0														No		573	*
63		28	8		-	1	In		99.1		100	0														No		965	*
62		27	8		-	2	In		98.8		100	0														No		1,785	*
61		26	8		-	3	In		97.2		99	1														No		2,848	*
60		26	9		-	2	In		95.6		98	2														No		4,452	*
59		25	9		-	3	In		93.2		97	3	0													No		6,853	*
58		25	10		-	2	In		88.3		95	5	0													No		10,166	*
57		24	10		-	3	In		80.5		91	9	0													No		14,463	*
56		24	11		-	2	In		71.0		86	13	1	0												No		19,912	*
55		23	11		-	3	In		57.4		78	20	1	0												No		26,693	*
54		23	12		-	2	In		41.7		67	29	4	0	0											No		34,943	*
53		22	12		-	3	In		26.2		55	36	8	1	0	0										No		43,290	*
52		22	13		-	2	In		13.4		40	43	15	2	0	0										No		53,013	*
51		21	13		-	3	In		5.3		26	43	24	6	1	0										No		62,021	*
50		21	14		-	2	In		1.5		15	37	33	13	3	0	0									No		71,996	*
49		20	14		-	3	In		0.2		7	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		79,556	*
48		20	15		-	2	In		0.0		3	16	33	30	14	3	0	0								No		52,973	*
		19	14		-	4	100.0	%	0.0		1	10	27	34	20	7	1	0	0							No		33,046	*
47		19	15		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	17	32	28	14	3	1	0							No		41,795
		20	16		-	1	100.0		No		1	6	20	31	27	12	3	0	0	0						No		48,193	*
46		19	16		-	2	99.8		No		0	1	9	24	32	23	8	2	0	0						No		45,044
		18	15		-	4	99.6		No		0	1	7	19	30	26	12	3	0	0						No		47,227	*
45		18	16		-	3	97.0		No		0	0	1	7	20	32	25	11	3	0	0					No		60,675	*
		19	17		-	1	99.1		No		0	0	3	14	28	31	17	5	1	0						No		30,722
44		18	17		-	2	92.2		No		0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	7	1	0	0				No		42,731
		17	16		-	4	86.7		No			0	0	2	9	22	30	24	11	2	0	0				No		45,205	*
43		17	17		-	3	67.3		No				0	0	2	10	24	32	22	9	2	0				No		38,477
		18	18		-	1	70.4		No				0	0	3	12	25	29	20	8	2	0	0			No		44,018	*
42		17	18		-	2	40.1		No					0	0	3	11	25	30	20	8	1	0	0		No		74,942	*
41		16	18		-	3	13.8		No						0	0	2	11	26	32	20	7	1	0		No		30,361
		17	19		-	1	17.9		No						0	1	4	13	26	29	19	6	1	0	0	0.0	%	35,623	*
40		16	19		-	2	4.3		No							0	1	4	14	27	31	18	5	1	0	0.1		56,861	*
39		15	19		-	3	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	16	30	30	15	4	0	1.0		47,466	*
38		15	20		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	6	20	33	28	11	1	7.5		38,720	*
37		14	20		-	3	Out		No										0	2	10	26	35	22	5	25.7		30,307	*
36		14	21		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	16	35	34	11	52.3		23,398	*
35		13	21		-	3	Out		No											0	1	8	28	42	21	77.3		17,256	*
34		13	22		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	18	44	34	91.2		12,528	*
33		12	22		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	40	49	97.3		8,810	*
32		12	23		-	2	Out		No													0	5	32	62	99.4		6,015	*
31		11	23		-	3	Out		No													0	3	24	73	99.8		3,832	*
30		11	24		-	2	Out		No													0	1	18	81	100.0		2,492	*
29		10	24		-	3	Out		No														0	11	89	Yes		1,559	*
28		10	25		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		931	*
27		9	25		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		513	*
26		9	26		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		287	*
25		9	27		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		164	*
24		8	27		-	2	Out		No															3	97	Yes		94	*
6	-23						Out		No																100	Yes		200	*

Total:							71.5	%	7.7	%	13	11	10	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	5.4	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6	*+0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

67	-80						100
66		29	6		-	2	99	1
65		29	7		-	1	100
64		28	7		-	2	100	0
63		28	8		-	1	99	1
62		27	8		-	2	99	1
61		26	8		-	3	97	3
60		26	9		-	2	96	4	0
59		25	9		-	3	93	6	0
58		25	10		-	2	88	11	1	0
57		24	10		-	3	80	18	2	0
56		24	11		-	2	71	25	4	0	0
55		23	11		-	3	57	34	8	1	0	0
54		23	12		-	2	42	40	15	3	0	0	0
53		22	12		-	3	26	40	24	8	2	0	0
52		22	13		-	2	13	32	31	17	5	1	0	0
51		21	13		-	3	5	20	30	26	13	4	1	0	0
50		21	14		-	2	1	9	21	28	23	13	5	1	0	0
49		20	14		-	3	0	2	7	18	26	24	15	6	2	0	0	0	0
		21	15		-	1	0	3	10	19	25	22	13	6	2	0	0	0
48		20	15		-	2	0	0	2	8	17	25	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
		19	14		-	4	0	0	2	6	14	21	24	18	10	4	1	0	0
47		19	15		-	3		0	0	1	5	11	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
46		19	16		-	2			0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0
		18	15		-	4				0	0	1	4	10	17	23	21	15	7	2	0	0	0
45		18	16		-	3			0	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	21	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
44		18	17		-	2						0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
43		17	17		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
42		17	18		-	2									0	0	0	0	1	5	11	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0	0
		16	17		-	4										0	0	0	1	3	8	14	20	21	17	10	4	1	0	0
41		16	18		-	3												0	0	0	1	4	10	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
40		16	19		-	2														0	0	0	2	5	11	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
39		15	19		-	3															0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
38		15	20		-	2																		0	0	1	4	10	18	24	22	14	6	1	0	0
37		14	20		-	3																		0	0	0	0	3	7	15	24	24	16	7	2	0
36		14	21		-	2																				0	0	0	2	6	15	24	27	18	7	1
35		13	21		-	3																						0	0	1	6	15	28	28	17	4
34		13	22		-	2																						0	0	0	2	7	18	32	30	11
33		12	22		-	3																									0	2	10	27	38	22
32		12	23		-	2																									0	1	4	17	41	37
31		11	23		-	3																										0	1	11	36	52
30		11	24		-	2																										0	1	5	30	65
29		10	24		-	3																												2	21	77
28		10	25		-	2																												1	13	86
27		9	25		-	3																												1	7	92
26		9	26		-	2																													4	96
25		9	27		-	1																													1	99
24		8	27		-	2																													3	97
23		8	28		-	1																													2	98
6	-22																																			100

Total:							8	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1