Sindliar Hornets Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 53.9%

0 points 0 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Juice 3 Steam 0	*+0.3		*+0.0
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5			*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.3-0.3-0.8+0.4*-0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hornets finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

64	-80						In		Yes		100															No		426	*
63		30	7		-	3	In		98.9	%	100	0														No		275	*
62		30	8		-	2	In		98.1		99	1														No		527	*
61		29	8		-	3	In		98.2		99	1														No		922	*
60		29	9		-	2	In		95.5		98	2														No		1,584	*
59		28	9		-	3	In		93.8		97	3	0													No		2,502	*
58		28	10		-	2	In		88.5		95	5	0													No		3,996	*
57		27	10		-	3	In		81.4		91	8	0													No		5,972	*
56		27	11		-	2	In		70.3		86	13	1													No		8,895	*
55		26	11		-	3	In		58.0		78	20	2	0	0											No		12,519	*
54		26	12		-	2	In		42.2		68	28	4	0	0											No		17,267	*
53		25	12		-	3	In		26.4		55	37	8	1	0											No		22,775	*
52		25	13		-	2	In		13.5		40	42	15	2	0	0										No		29,714	*
51		24	13		-	3	In		5.3		26	42	24	6	1	0										No		37,630	*
50		24	14		-	2	In		1.5		14	37	33	13	3	0	0									No		46,357	*
49		23	14		-	3	In		0.2		6	26	36	23	8	1	0	0								No		55,091	*
48		23	15		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	13	30	32	17	5	1	0	0							No		63,647	*
47		22	15		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	18	32	29	13	3	0	0							No		33,545
		23	16		-	1	100.0		No		1	5	19	31	27	13	3	1	0							No		38,053	*
46		22	16		-	2	99.7		No		0	2	9	23	31	24	9	2	0	0						No		51,725	*
		21	15		-	4	99.5		No		0	1	5	18	30	29	14	4	0	0	0					No		27,385
45		21	16		-	3	97.5		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	10	2	0	0					No		83,717	*
44		21	17		-	2	92.3		No			0	0	3	12	27	31	20	6	1	0	0				No		39,877
		20	16		-	4	85.9		No			0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0				No		47,531	*
43		20	17		-	3	67.6		No				0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0			No		41,431
		21	18		-	1	67.9		No				0	0	3	11	24	29	21	9	2	0	0			No		47,236	*
42		20	18		-	2	46.7		No					0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0			No		48,570	*
		19	17		-	4	29.6		No					0	0	1	7	21	31	25	11	2	0	0		No		39,248	*
41		19	18		-	3	15.7		No					0	0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0	No		83,587	*
40		19	19		-	2	5.2		No							0	1	5	15	29	29	16	5	1	0	0.0	%	51,416	*
		18	18		-	4	2.6		No						0	0	0	2	10	25	32	22	7	1	0	0.1		27,599
39		18	19		-	3	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	16	30	30	15	4	0	1.0		71,913	*
38		18	20		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	7	20	33	27	10	1	7.2		63,288	*
37		17	20		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	9	26	36	22	4	25.3		25,576
		18	21		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	2	11	27	35	21	5	24.6		29,183	*
36		17	21		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	17	35	33	11	52.1		45,964	*
35		16	21		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	8	28	42	21	76.1		37,555	*
34		16	22		-	2	Out		No											0	0	4	19	44	34	90.7		29,927	*
33		15	22		-	3	Out		No												0	1	11	40	48	97.5		23,415	*
32		15	23		-	2	Out		No												0	0	6	33	61	99.2		17,709	*
31		14	23		-	3	Out		No													0	3	25	72	99.8		13,118	*
30		14	24		-	2	Out		No													0	1	19	80	100.0		9,458	*
29		13	24		-	3	Out		No													0	0	12	88	Yes		6,402	*
28		13	25		-	2	Out		No														0	8	91	Yes		4,482	*
27		12	25		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		2,914	*
26		12	26		-	2	Out		No															3	97	Yes		1,939	*
25		11	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,199	*
24		11	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		655	*
23		10	27		-	3	Out		No															0	100	Yes		416	*
0	-22						Out		No																100	Yes		588	*

Total:							53.9	%	3.5	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	13.3	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	*+0.0
Fighting Hawks 7 Attack 1	*+0.0
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*-0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-80						100
63		30	7		-	3	99	1
62		30	8		-	2	98	2
61		29	8		-	3	98	2
60		29	9		-	2	96	4
59		28	9		-	3	94	6	0
58		28	10		-	2	88	11	1
57		27	10		-	3	81	17	1	0	0
56		27	11		-	2	70	26	3	0
55		26	11		-	3	58	33	8	1	0	0
54		26	12		-	2	42	39	15	3	0	0	0
53		25	12		-	3	26	39	24	8	2	0	0
52		25	13		-	2	14	32	31	17	5	1	0	0
51		24	13		-	3	5	19	30	26	13	5	1	0	0
50		24	14		-	2	1	8	20	27	24	13	5	1	0	0	0
49		23	14		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
48		23	15		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	23	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
47		22	15		-	3		0	0	1	4	11	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		22	16		-	2			0	0	1	3	8	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		21	15		-	4			0	0	0	2	5	11	19	22	19	13	6	2	0	0	0
45		21	16		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	21	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
44		21	17		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
		20	16		-	4							0	0	0	1	5	11	20	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
43		20	17		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
42		20	18		-	2										0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
		19	17		-	4											0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
41		19	18		-	3												0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0
40		19	19		-	2														0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	3	1	0	0	0
		18	18		-	4														0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0
39		18	19		-	3															0	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	19	10	3	1	0	0	0
		19	20		-	1															0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	18	10	4	1	0	0
38		18	20		-	2																	0	0	0	2	5	12	21	24	20	11	4	1	0
		17	19		-	4																		0	0	1	3	8	17	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
37		17	20		-	3																			0	0	1	2	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0
36		17	21		-	2																				0	0	0	2	6	15	25	27	18	7	1
35		16	21		-	3																					0	0	0	2	6	16	27	28	17	4
34		16	22		-	2																						0	0	0	2	7	19	31	29	11
33		15	22		-	3																							0	0	0	2	10	27	39	22
32		15	23		-	2																									0	1	4	18	40	37
31		14	23		-	3																										0	1	10	37	51
30		14	24		-	2																										0	0	6	30	64
29		13	24		-	3																											0	2	21	77
28		13	25		-	2																											0	1	15	84
27		12	25		-	3																											0	0	10	90
26		12	26		-	2																												0	5	95
25		11	26		-	3																													3	97
24		11	27		-	2																													2	98
23		10	27		-	3																													1	99
22		10	28		-	2																													1	99
0	-21																																			100

Total:							4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3