How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Knights vs Tankers-0.4*-0.4*-0.4*+0.1*+0.3+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Wife Stealers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seedTier
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415IIICount
60-72In98.6%100No211*
59296-1In95.2991No124*
58286-2In88.4955No233*
57287-1In80.6937No464*
56277-2In72.386140No837*
55278-1In58.2801920No1,437*
54268-2In41.5682930No2,513*
53258-3In29.45635810No4,061*
52259-2In15.542431320No6,360*
51249-3In5.9284224610No9,467*
502410-2In1.816383112200No13,617*
492310-3In0.372736227100No18,989*
482311-2In0.0215313116410No25,983*
472211-3100.0%No1520322712300No33,556*
462212-299.7No01822322310200No42,086*
452112-397.9No002102431229200No52,210*
442113-290.0No003112531218200No61,677*
432013-369.7No003122530218200No70,829*
422014-240.9No00031225302071000No79,794*
411914-313.9No002112632217100No39,573
2015-118.2No014142629187100.0%46,253*
401915-25.1No014163030154000.045,857
1814-43.5No0003122531207100.145,388*
391815-30.4No00313293118501.360,059*
1916-11.5No001721322610200.332,970
381816-20.1No017223426914.646,499
1715-40.1No0151832291328.846,997*
371716-30.0No0029253623525.441,184
1817-10.0No00210263522523.847,923*
361717-20.0No00041736321047.041,859
1616-4OutNo0031433361456.442,347*
351617-3OutNo001726432378.135,115
1718-1OutNo001827422275.341,075*
341618-2OutNo00419443489.633,614
1517-4OutNo0316433892.433,600*
331518-3OutNo00110395097.357,510*
321519-2OutNo005316399.448,564*
311419-3OutNo002247499.938,557*
301420-2OutNo011782100.030,936*
291320-3OutNo01188Yes22,948*
281321-2OutNo0793Yes17,395*
271221-3OutNo0496Yes12,183*
261222-2OutNo0298Yes8,495*
251122-3OutNo199Yes5,773*
241123-2OutNo199Yes3,773*
231023-3OutNo0100Yes2,355*
221024-2OutNo0100Yes1,445*
21924-3OutNo100Yes868*
20925-2OutNo0100Yes499*
0-19OutNo100Yes658*
Total:27.1%0.5%12334456678911131832.6%1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6 *+0.0
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5 *-0.0
Juice 3 Steam 0 *-0.0
SundayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
61-72100
60295-2955
59296-1955
58286-28812
57287-181191
56277-272244
55278-1583471
54268-2414214300
53258-3293923720
52259-215343015510
51249-3621302512410
502410-2210222722124100
492310-30310202722125100
482311-200281724221572100
472211-30015132123181151000
462212-20013816222216931000
452112-300141017222114731000
442113-200014101822201472100
432013-300013917232215721000
2114-100026121821181372100
422014-20000151118222013721000
411914-30000251118222013620000
401915-20000271522231793100
1814-400014101722211472000
391815-300025122124201141000
1916-1001511192420125100
381816-20001512212520114100
1715-4000149172323157200
371716-300013816242416720
361717-2000271726261651
1616-400151324272081
351617-3000016162828174
341618-2000282033279
1517-4001617313113
331518-3000210273823
321519-20014184037
311419-3001103652
301420-20052965
291320-3022177
281321-2011485
271221-30991
261222-200595
251122-3397
241123-2298
231023-3199
221024-2199
21924-30100
20925-2199
19825-30100
0-18100
Total:0111111222222233333444455667811