Miami Dealers Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Beat B. Capitals 7-4, playoff odds up 6.4 to 65.4%

6 points 3 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	+6.3		+1.2		-2.7		+0.6
W. Capitals 6 Citadels 1	*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.2+0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dealers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

63	-78						In		99.9	%	100															No		1,049	*
62		27	7		-	2	In		98.7		99	1														No		866	*
61		27	8		-	1	In		96.7		99	1														No		1,386	*
60		26	8		-	2	In		95.9		98	2														No		2,526	*
59		26	9		-	1	In		92.3		96	4														No		3,974	*
58		25	9		-	2	In		87.7		94	6	0													No		6,321	*
57		24	9		-	3	In		80.4		91	9	0													No		9,362	*
56		24	10		-	2	In		70.5		86	14	1	0												No		13,677	*
55		23	10		-	3	In		56.4		77	21	2	0												No		18,916	*
54		23	11		-	2	In		41.7		67	29	4	0	0											No		25,807	*
53		22	11		-	3	In		26.0		54	37	8	1	0											No		33,383	*
52		22	12		-	2	In		13.4		39	43	15	2	0	0										No		42,460	*
51		21	12		-	3	In		5.4		26	43	24	6	1	0										No		51,746	*
50		21	13		-	2	In		1.4		14	37	33	14	3	0	0									No		62,346	*
49		20	13		-	3	In		0.2		6	25	36	23	8	1	0	0								No		70,585	*
48		20	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	15	33	31	15	4	0	0								No		40,413
		19	13		-	4	In		0.0		2	12	28	33	19	6	1	0								No		39,711	*
47		19	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	4	17	32	29	14	3	0	0							No		39,705
		20	15		-	1	100.0		No		1	6	20	32	26	12	3	0	0							No		46,604	*
46		19	15		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0	0					No		52,061	*
		18	14		-	4	99.6		No		0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0						No		39,654	*
45		18	15		-	3	96.9		No			0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0					No		60,035	*
		19	16		-	1	99.1		No		0	0	3	14	28	30	18	5	1	0	0					No		32,815
44		18	16		-	2	93.0		No			0	0	3	13	27	30	19	6	1	0	0				No		57,582	*
		17	15		-	4	83.9		No				0	1	7	19	31	26	13	3	0	0				No		35,487	*
43		17	16		-	3	64.2		No				0	0	2	9	23	31	24	10	2	0	0			No		55,553	*
		18	17		-	1	77.5		No				0	1	4	15	28	29	16	5	1	0				No		33,455	*
42		17	17		-	2	45.0		No				0	0	0	4	14	27	30	18	6	1	0	0		No		41,302
		16	16		-	4	36.1		No					0	0	3	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0		No		42,233	*
41		16	17		-	3	13.3		No						0	0	2	11	25	32	21	8	1	0	0	No		37,426	*
		17	18		-	1	19.2		No					0	0	1	4	15	27	29	18	6	1	0		No		38,570	*
40		16	18		-	2	5.1		No						0	0	1	4	16	30	30	16	4	0	0	0.0	%	33,898
		15	17		-	4	4.0		No							0	1	3	12	25	31	20	7	1	0	0.1		33,607	*
39		15	18		-	3	0.8		No						0	0	0	1	5	16	30	29	15	3	0	0.9		57,515	*
38		15	19		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	7	21	33	27	10	1	7.1		48,714	*
37		14	19		-	3	Out		No										0	2	10	27	35	21	4	24.7		38,745	*
36		14	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	16	35	33	11	52.0		30,731	*
35		13	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	8	28	42	21	76.7		23,205	*
34		13	21		-	2	Out		No												0	3	18	44	34	90.9		17,330	*
33		12	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	11	40	49	97.5		12,236	*
32		12	22		-	2	Out		No													0	6	33	61	99.3		8,674	*
31		11	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	24	74	99.9		5,567	*
30		11	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	17	82	100.0		3,753	*
29		10	23		-	3	Out		No														1	11	89	Yes		2,330	*
28		10	24		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		1,432	*
27		9	24		-	3	Out		No															5	95	Yes		868	*
26		9	25		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		459	*
25		9	26		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		254	*
24		8	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		143	*
6	-23						Out		No																100	Yes		249	*

Total:							65.4	%	5.3	%	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	7.3	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	-1.3

Sunday	None

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-78						100
63		28	7		-	1	100	0
62		27	7		-	2	99	1
61		27	8		-	1	97	3	0
60		26	8		-	2	96	4	0
59		26	9		-	1	92	7	0
58		25	9		-	2	88	12	1	0
57		24	9		-	3	80	18	2	0
56		24	10		-	2	71	26	3	0	0
55		23	10		-	3	56	34	8	1	0	0
54		23	11		-	2	42	40	15	3	0	0
53		22	11		-	3	26	40	25	8	1	0	0
52		22	12		-	2	13	32	31	17	5	1	0	0
51		21	12		-	3	5	19	30	26	13	4	1	0	0
50		21	13		-	2	1	8	20	28	23	13	5	1	0	0	0
49		20	13		-	3	0	2	7	18	25	24	15	6	2	0	0	0
		21	14		-	1	0	3	9	20	26	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
48		20	14		-	2	0	0	3	9	18	25	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
		19	13		-	4	0	0	1	4	11	20	25	21	12	5	2	0	0	0
47		19	14		-	3		0	0	1	4	10	19	24	22	13	6	2	0	0
		20	15		-	1		0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	5	2	0	0	0	0
46		19	15		-	2			0	0	1	3	9	17	23	21	15	7	2	1	0	0
		18	14		-	4				0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
45		18	15		-	3				0	0	0	0	2	6	13	20	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
		19	16		-	1				0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	11	4	1	0	0
44		18	16		-	2					0	0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
		17	15		-	4							0	0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
43		17	16		-	3								0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
		18	17		-	1								0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
42		17	17		-	2											0	0	1	4	11	18	22	20	13	7	2	1	0	0
		16	16		-	4										0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	21	15	9	3	1	0	0
41		16	17		-	3												0	0	0	1	5	10	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0
40		16	18		-	2														0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
39		15	18		-	3																0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
38		15	19		-	2																0	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	24	22	13	5	1	0	0
37		14	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	2	7	16	24	24	16	7	2	0
36		14	20		-	2																				0	0	0	2	6	15	25	27	18	7	1
35		13	20		-	3																					0	0	0	1	6	16	27	29	17	4
34		13	21		-	2																							0	0	2	7	19	32	29	11
33		12	21		-	3																								0	0	2	10	26	38	23
32		12	22		-	2																									0	1	4	19	39	37
31		11	22		-	3																										0	1	10	36	53
30		11	23		-	2																										0	0	5	28	66
29		10	23		-	3																											0	2	20	78
28		10	24		-	2																												1	14	85
27		9	24		-	3																												0	10	89
26		9	25		-	2																													4	96
25		9	26		-	1																													2	98
24		8	26		-	2																													1	99
6	-23																																			100

Total:							5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1