Oahu Honu Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 65.6%

6 points 3 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5			+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Knights vs Tankers	-0.5-0.5-0.3+0.3+0.1+0.5				-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Honu finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

65	-78						In		Yes		100															No		316	*
64		28	6		-	2	In		99.2	%	100	0														No		252	*
63		28	7		-	1	In		99.3		100															No		453	*
62		27	7		-	2	In		98.7		100	0														No		864	*
61		27	8		-	1	In		97.7		99	1														No		1,465	*
60		26	8		-	2	In		96.7		99	1														No		2,612	*
59		26	9		-	1	In		93.0		97	3														No		3,991	*
58		25	9		-	2	In		88.3		95	5	0													No		6,248	*
57		24	9		-	3	In		81.1		91	9	0													No		9,321	*
56		24	10		-	2	In		71.2		86	13	1	0												No		13,705	*
55		23	10		-	3	In		57.9		79	20	2	0												No		18,918	*
54		23	11		-	2	In		42.9		68	28	4	0	0											No		25,947	*
53		22	11		-	3	In		26.9		55	37	8	1	0											No		33,131	*
52		22	12		-	2	In		13.8		41	42	15	2	0	0										No		42,650	*
51		21	12		-	3	In		5.5		27	43	24	6	1	0	0									No		51,914	*
50		21	13		-	2	In		1.5		15	37	33	13	2	0	0									No		61,662	*
49		20	13		-	3	In		0.3		7	26	36	23	7	1	0	0								No		71,463	*
48		20	14		-	2	In		0.0		3	15	32	31	15	3	0	0								No		40,289
		19	13		-	4	In		0.0		2	12	29	32	19	6	1	0								No		39,941	*
47		19	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	4	17	32	29	13	4	0	0	0						No		41,784	*
		20	15		-	1	100.0		No		1	6	20	32	27	11	3	0	0							No		44,346	*
46		19	15		-	2	99.8		No		0	1	9	24	32	23	8	2	0	0						No		45,693
		18	14		-	4	99.6		No		0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0						No		45,799	*
45		18	15		-	3	97.8		No		0	0	1	8	23	32	24	9	2	0	0	0				No		43,296
		19	16		-	1	97.8		No		0	0	2	11	24	30	22	9	2	0	0					No		50,095	*
44		18	16		-	2	92.5		No			0	0	3	12	26	31	19	6	1	0	0				No		45,903
		17	15		-	4	87.2		No		0	0	0	2	9	22	30	24	10	2	0	0				No		46,825	*
43		17	16		-	3	67.8		No				0	0	2	10	25	31	22	8	2	0	0			No		41,088
		18	17		-	1	71.2		No				0	0	3	13	25	30	19	7	2	0	0			No		48,038	*
42		17	17		-	2	45.6		No					0	0	3	14	28	30	18	6	1	0	0		No		41,657
		16	16		-	4	36.1		No					0	0	3	10	23	31	22	9	2	0	0		No		41,651	*
41		16	17		-	3	16.7		No					0	0	0	3	13	26	30	19	7	1	0	0	0.0	%	76,298	*
40		16	18		-	2	4.5		No						0	0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0	0.0		67,591	*
39		15	18		-	3	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	1.0		57,257	*
38		15	19		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	7	21	33	27	10	1	6.8		48,322	*
37		14	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	11	27	35	21	4	24.2		38,710	*
36		14	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	17	35	32	10	51.6		30,669	*
35		13	20		-	3	Out		No											0	1	9	28	41	20	75.4		22,948	*
34		13	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	4	19	44	33	90.4		17,149	*
33		12	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	11	40	47	97.1		12,391	*
32		12	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	6	33	60	99.2		8,689	*
31		11	22		-	3	Out		No													0	3	26	71	99.9		5,679	*
30		11	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	18	81	99.9		3,798	*
29		10	23		-	3	Out		No														0	12	88	Yes		2,331	*
28		10	24		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	Yes		1,458	*
27		9	24		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		930	*
26		9	25		-	2	Out		No															3	97	Yes		507	*
25		8	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	Yes		292	*
24		8	26		-	2	Out		No															3	97	Yes		150	*
6	-23						Out		No																100	Yes		234	*

Total:							65.6	%	5.4	%	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	7.2	%	1,356,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dealers 7 B. Capitals 4	*-0.0
Chevalier 2 Nightmares 6	*-0.0
Juice 3 Steam 0	*-0.0
Buffalo 6 Mafiosos 5	-0.0

Sunday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-78						100
64		28	6		-	2	99	1
63		28	7		-	1	99	1
62		27	7		-	2	99	1
61		27	8		-	1	98	2
60		26	8		-	2	97	3	0
59		26	9		-	1	93	7	0
58		25	9		-	2	88	11	1
57		24	9		-	3	81	17	2	0
56		24	10		-	2	71	25	4	0	0
55		23	10		-	3	58	33	8	1	0	0
54		23	11		-	2	43	39	15	3	0	0
53		22	11		-	3	27	39	24	8	2	0	0
52		22	12		-	2	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0
51		21	12		-	3	5	20	30	26	13	4	1	0	0
50		21	13		-	2	2	10	23	29	22	11	4	1	0	0	0
		20	12		-	4	1	8	19	27	24	14	6	2	0	0	0
49		20	13		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	23	13	6	2	0	0	0
48		20	14		-	2	0	0	2	8	18	25	23	14	6	2	0	0	0
		19	13		-	4	0	0	2	6	14	22	23	18	10	4	1	0	0
47		19	14		-	3		0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
		20	15		-	1		0	0	2	8	17	24	23	15	7	2	1	0	0
46		19	15		-	2		0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0
		18	14		-	4				0	0	1	3	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	1	0	0	0
45		18	15		-	3					0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		19	16		-	1				0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
44		18	16		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	1	0	0	0
		17	15		-	4							0	0	0	1	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	2	0	0	0
43		17	16		-	3									0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0
		18	17		-	1							0	0	0	1	2	7	15	22	22	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
42		17	17		-	2										0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
41		16	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	14	7	2	1	0	0	0
40		16	18		-	2													0	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
39		15	18		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	23	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		15	19		-	2																	0	0	0	1	4	10	19	24	21	13	5	1	0	0
37		14	19		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	17	24	24	16	7	1	0
36		14	20		-	2																				0	0	0	2	6	15	25	27	17	6	1
35		13	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	6	17	27	28	16	4
34		13	21		-	2																							0	0	2	7	19	33	28	10
33		12	21		-	3																								0	0	2	11	27	39	21
32		12	22		-	2																								0	0	1	4	19	40	36
31		11	22		-	3																										0	2	11	36	51
30		11	23		-	2																										0	0	6	30	64
29		10	23		-	3																											0	2	21	77
28		10	24		-	2																												1	15	85
27		9	24		-	3																												1	9	90
26		9	25		-	2																													6	94
25		8	25		-	3																													2	98
24		8	26		-	2																													3	97
6	-23																																			100

Total:							5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	1